Trump administration priorities in 2025 centered on the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, which permanently extended 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act individual rates and brackets—including the existing long-term capital gains structure of 0/15/20 percent—without lowering the top rate. No subsequent legislation has advanced a broad reduction ahead of the 2026 midterms. Recent discussions among officials have floated narrower ideas such as inflation indexing or expanded home-sale exclusions, yet these remain preliminary proposals without committee action, floor votes, or reconciliation packaging. Congressional calendar pressures, competing fiscal items, and the need for unified Republican support in both chambers continue to limit momentum for additional rate relief before 2027. Traders therefore assign an 85.5 percent probability to no cut occurring.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật9% khả năng
MỚI
MỚI
Dec 30, 2026
9% khả năng
MỚI
MỚI
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump administration priorities in 2025 centered on the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, which permanently extended 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act individual rates and brackets—including the existing long-term capital gains structure of 0/15/20 percent—without lowering the top rate. No subsequent legislation has advanced a broad reduction ahead of the 2026 midterms. Recent discussions among officials have floated narrower ideas such as inflation indexing or expanded home-sale exclusions, yet these remain preliminary proposals without committee action, floor votes, or reconciliation packaging. Congressional calendar pressures, competing fiscal items, and the need for unified Republican support in both chambers continue to limit momentum for additional rate relief before 2027. Traders therefore assign an 85.5 percent probability to no cut occurring.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Thị trường mở: Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ET
Khối lượng
$2,141Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump administration priorities in 2025 centered on the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, which permanently extended 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act individual rates and brackets—including the existing long-term capital gains structure of 0/15/20 percent—without lowering the top rate. No subsequent legislation has advanced a broad reduction ahead of the 2026 midterms. Recent discussions among officials have floated narrower ideas such as inflation indexing or expanded home-sale exclusions, yet these remain preliminary proposals without committee action, floor votes, or reconciliation packaging. Congressional calendar pressures, competing fiscal items, and the need for unified Republican support in both chambers continue to limit momentum for additional rate relief before 2027. Traders therefore assign an 85.5 percent probability to no cut occurring.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Khối lượng
$2,141Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump administration priorities in 2025 centered on the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, which permanently extended 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act individual rates and brackets—including the existing long-term capital gains structure of 0/15/20 percent—without lowering the top rate. No subsequent legislation has advanced a broad reduction ahead of the 2026 midterms. Recent discussions among officials have floated narrower ideas such as inflation indexing or expanded home-sale exclusions, yet these remain preliminary proposals without committee action, floor votes, or reconciliation packaging. Congressional calendar pressures, competing fiscal items, and the need for unified Republican support in both chambers continue to limit momentum for additional rate relief before 2027. Traders therefore assign an 85.5 percent probability to no cut occurring.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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