Recent monetary policy divergence has emerged as the dominant driver of EUR/USD sentiment, with the pair trading near 1.157–1.16 in mid-August 2026 after climbing toward two-month highs. Markets now price in roughly an 84% chance of a 25-basis-point ECB rate hike in September, contrasting with subdued expectations for Federal Reserve action amid softer U.S. employment data and sticky inflation. This relative hawkishness has bolstered the euro against a softer dollar, though elevated energy prices from Middle East tensions continue to cloud euro-area inflation and growth outlooks. Key upcoming catalysts include the ECB’s September decision, Eurozone PMI releases, and U.S. labor and inflation prints that could further shift rate differentials and trader positioning through year-end.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$88,909 KL.
↑ 1.40
3%
↑ 1.35
2%
↑ 1.30
7%
↑ 1.26
8%
↑ 1.24
9%
↑ 1.22
25%
↑ 1.20
29%
↓ 1.12
30%
↓ 1.10
36%
↓ 1.05
8%
↓ 1.00
4%
$88,909 KL.
↑ 1.40
3%
↑ 1.35
2%
↑ 1.30
7%
↑ 1.26
8%
↑ 1.24
9%
↑ 1.22
25%
↑ 1.20
29%
↓ 1.12
30%
↓ 1.10
36%
↓ 1.05
8%
↓ 1.00
4%
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Thị trường mở: Feb 4, 2026, 5:34 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent monetary policy divergence has emerged as the dominant driver of EUR/USD sentiment, with the pair trading near 1.157–1.16 in mid-August 2026 after climbing toward two-month highs. Markets now price in roughly an 84% chance of a 25-basis-point ECB rate hike in September, contrasting with subdued expectations for Federal Reserve action amid softer U.S. employment data and sticky inflation. This relative hawkishness has bolstered the euro against a softer dollar, though elevated energy prices from Middle East tensions continue to cloud euro-area inflation and growth outlooks. Key upcoming catalysts include the ECB’s September decision, Eurozone PMI releases, and U.S. labor and inflation prints that could further shift rate differentials and trader positioning through year-end.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật



Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp