Justin Gaethje holds the undisputed UFC lightweight title following his fourth-round stoppage of previously unbeaten Ilia Topuria in June 2026, and the 37-year-old champion has signaled he is unlikely to compete again this year. Trader consensus reflects that extended reign through December, with Gaethje priced at 81.3% implied probability. Arman Tsarukyan (8.3%) sits as the top active contender after a five-fight win streak and a scheduled bout against Mauricio Ruffy, though a title shot remains unconfirmed before year-end. Topuria (3.3%) dropped after the loss and injury, while veterans such as Charles Oliveira and Paddy Pimblett trail further behind amid a crowded division where recent form, ranking position, and Gaethje’s planned hiatus shape the current probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtJustin Gaethje 81.3%
Arman Tsarukyan 12.2%
Mauricio Ruffy 5.5%
Ilia Topuria 3.3%
$672,817 KL.
$672,817 KL.
Ilia Topuria
3%
Arman Tsarukyan
8%
Charles Oliveira
<1%
Max Holloway
<1%
Justin Gaethje
81%
Paddy Pimblett
2%
Dan Hooker
<1%
Mateusz Gamrot
<1%
Benoît Saint Denis
<1%
Rafael Fiziev
<1%
Renato Moicano
<1%
Mauricio Ruffy
5%
Justin Gaethje 81.3%
Arman Tsarukyan 12.2%
Mauricio Ruffy 5.5%
Ilia Topuria 3.3%
$672,817 KL.
$672,817 KL.
Ilia Topuria
3%
Arman Tsarukyan
8%
Charles Oliveira
<1%
Max Holloway
<1%
Justin Gaethje
81%
Paddy Pimblett
2%
Dan Hooker
<1%
Mateusz Gamrot
<1%
Benoît Saint Denis
<1%
Rafael Fiziev
<1%
Renato Moicano
<1%
Mauricio Ruffy
5%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Thị trường mở: Jan 4, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Justin Gaethje holds the undisputed UFC lightweight title following his fourth-round stoppage of previously unbeaten Ilia Topuria in June 2026, and the 37-year-old champion has signaled he is unlikely to compete again this year. Trader consensus reflects that extended reign through December, with Gaethje priced at 81.3% implied probability. Arman Tsarukyan (8.3%) sits as the top active contender after a five-fight win streak and a scheduled bout against Mauricio Ruffy, though a title shot remains unconfirmed before year-end. Topuria (3.3%) dropped after the loss and injury, while veterans such as Charles Oliveira and Paddy Pimblett trail further behind amid a crowded division where recent form, ranking position, and Gaethje’s planned hiatus shape the current probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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