The Last House's commanding 99.2% market-implied probability stems from its blockbuster Netflix debut on August 7, when the sci-fi thriller starring Greta Lee and Wagner Moura racked up 27.5 million views in its first three days and claimed the No. 1 spot on the U.S. Top 10 chart. This performance, the fifth-strongest opening for a Netflix original film this year, reflects strong platform promotion, an intriguing premise of a family trapped by mysterious forces, and immediate audience engagement that outpaced holdovers like 72 Hours and catalog titles such as the Spider-Man films. Traders see little room for an upset this week absent an unexpected new release surge or sharp drop in retention metrics, though sustained chart leadership will ultimately determine the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWhat will be the top US Netflix movie this week?
What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?
The Last House 99.2%
72 Hours <1%
In the Land of Saints and Sinners <1%
Spider-Man: Far from Home <1%
The Last House
99%
72 Hours
<1%
In the Land of Saints and Sinners
<1%
Spider-Man: Far from Home
<1%
Don't Say Good Luck
<1%
Minions
<1%
The Last House 99.2%
72 Hours <1%
In the Land of Saints and Sinners <1%
Spider-Man: Far from Home <1%
The Last House
99%
72 Hours
<1%
In the Land of Saints and Sinners
<1%
Spider-Man: Far from Home
<1%
Don't Say Good Luck
<1%
Minions
<1%
This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically.
The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies.
If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Thị trường mở: Aug 12, 2026, 8:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically.
The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies.
If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Last House's commanding 99.2% market-implied probability stems from its blockbuster Netflix debut on August 7, when the sci-fi thriller starring Greta Lee and Wagner Moura racked up 27.5 million views in its first three days and claimed the No. 1 spot on the U.S. Top 10 chart. This performance, the fifth-strongest opening for a Netflix original film this year, reflects strong platform promotion, an intriguing premise of a family trapped by mysterious forces, and immediate audience engagement that outpaced holdovers like 72 Hours and catalog titles such as the Spider-Man films. Traders see little room for an upset this week absent an unexpected new release surge or sharp drop in retention metrics, though sustained chart leadership will ultimately determine the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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