The tight trader consensus on narrow 0–4% margins for both Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez in Peru’s June 7 presidential runoff reflects polling averages showing the conservative Popular Force candidate holding only a slim lead over the leftist Together for Peru contender after a highly fragmented first round. Fujimori’s 17% plurality and Sánchez’s 12% advance created an anti-incumbent dynamic in which many voters prioritize rejecting the opponent, sustaining high undecided and null-ballot shares. Rural support for Sánchez, particularly among small-scale miners favoring regulatory continuity, offsets Fujimori’s strength in urban centers and among voters wary of her family legacy. Late-campaign debates, regional turnout variations, and any final consolidation of eliminated candidates’ backers could shift the outcome by a few points either way before polls close.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtPeru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory?
Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory?
Fujimori 0–4% 45%
Sánchez 0–4% 37%
Fujimori 4–8% 8%
Sánchez 4–8% 5.3%
$285,062 KL.
$285,062 KL.
Jun 7, 2026
Fujimori 12%+
2%
Fujimori 8–12%
4%
Fujimori 4–8%
8%
Fujimori 0–4%
45%
Sánchez 0–4%
37%
Sánchez 4–8%
5%
Sánchez 8–12%
1%
Sánchez 12%+
1%
Fujimori 0–4% 45%
Sánchez 0–4% 37%
Fujimori 4–8% 8%
Sánchez 4–8% 5.3%
$285,062 KL.
$285,062 KL.
Jun 7, 2026
Fujimori 12%+
$20,392 KL.
2%
Fujimori 8–12%
$24,011 KL.
4%
Fujimori 4–8%
$26,028 KL.
8%
Fujimori 0–4%
$95,292 KL.
45%
Sánchez 0–4%
$63,543 KL.
37%
Sánchez 4–8%
$22,709 KL.
5%
Sánchez 8–12%
$19,157 KL.
1%
Sánchez 12%+
$13,931 KL.
1%
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The tight trader consensus on narrow 0–4% margins for both Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez in Peru’s June 7 presidential runoff reflects polling averages showing the conservative Popular Force candidate holding only a slim lead over the leftist Together for Peru contender after a highly fragmented first round. Fujimori’s 17% plurality and Sánchez’s 12% advance created an anti-incumbent dynamic in which many voters prioritize rejecting the opponent, sustaining high undecided and null-ballot shares. Rural support for Sánchez, particularly among small-scale miners favoring regulatory continuity, offsets Fujimori’s strength in urban centers and among voters wary of her family legacy. Late-campaign debates, regional turnout variations, and any final consolidation of eliminated candidates’ backers could shift the outcome by a few points either way before polls close.
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Thị trường mở: May 21, 2026, 5:09 PM ET
Khối lượng
$285,062Ngày kết thúc
Jun 7, 2026Thị trường mở
May 21, 2026, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The tight trader consensus on narrow 0–4% margins for both Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez in Peru’s June 7 presidential runoff reflects polling averages showing the conservative Popular Force candidate holding only a slim lead over the leftist Together for Peru contender after a highly fragmented first round. Fujimori’s 17% plurality and Sánchez’s 12% advance created an anti-incumbent dynamic in which many voters prioritize rejecting the opponent, sustaining high undecided and null-ballot shares. Rural support for Sánchez, particularly among small-scale miners favoring regulatory continuity, offsets Fujimori’s strength in urban centers and among voters wary of her family legacy. Late-campaign debates, regional turnout variations, and any final consolidation of eliminated candidates’ backers could shift the outcome by a few points either way before polls close.
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Khối lượng
$285,062Ngày kết thúc
Jun 7, 2026Thị trường mở
May 21, 2026, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The tight trader consensus on narrow 0–4% margins for both Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez in Peru’s June 7 presidential runoff reflects polling averages showing the conservative Popular Force candidate holding only a slim lead over the leftist Together for Peru contender after a highly fragmented first round. Fujimori’s 17% plurality and Sánchez’s 12% advance created an anti-incumbent dynamic in which many voters prioritize rejecting the opponent, sustaining high undecided and null-ballot shares. Rural support for Sánchez, particularly among small-scale miners favoring regulatory continuity, offsets Fujimori’s strength in urban centers and among voters wary of her family legacy. Late-campaign debates, regional turnout variations, and any final consolidation of eliminated candidates’ backers could shift the outcome by a few points either way before polls close.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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