Oregon's 3rd congressional district remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the Pacific Northwest, reflected in its strong partisan voting index and consistent results in recent cycles. Incumbent Maxine Dexter secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary without significant opposition, positioning her as the clear general-election frontrunner against Republican Loran Ayles. Trader consensus around a 94 percent probability for the Democratic nominee aligns with the seat's structural advantages, including high Democratic registration and urban voter concentration in the Portland area. A national political shift of historic scale or an unforeseen personal development affecting the incumbent could narrow the margin, though historical patterns in similarly rated districts show limited volatility.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtOR-03 House Election Winner
OR-03 House Election Winner
$13,396 KL.
$13,396 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
$13,396 KL.
$13,396 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$4,633 KL.
94%
Republican Party
$8,762 KL.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon's 3rd congressional district remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the Pacific Northwest, reflected in its strong partisan voting index and consistent results in recent cycles. Incumbent Maxine Dexter secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary without significant opposition, positioning her as the clear general-election frontrunner against Republican Loran Ayles. Trader consensus around a 94 percent probability for the Democratic nominee aligns with the seat's structural advantages, including high Democratic registration and urban voter concentration in the Portland area. A national political shift of historic scale or an unforeseen personal development affecting the incumbent could narrow the margin, though historical patterns in similarly rated districts show limited volatility.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Khối lượng
$13,396Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon's 3rd congressional district remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the Pacific Northwest, reflected in its strong partisan voting index and consistent results in recent cycles. Incumbent Maxine Dexter secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary without significant opposition, positioning her as the clear general-election frontrunner against Republican Loran Ayles. Trader consensus around a 94 percent probability for the Democratic nominee aligns with the seat's structural advantages, including high Democratic registration and urban voter concentration in the Portland area. A national political shift of historic scale or an unforeseen personal development affecting the incumbent could narrow the margin, though historical patterns in similarly rated districts show limited volatility.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$13,396Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oregon's 3rd congressional district remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the Pacific Northwest, reflected in its strong partisan voting index and consistent results in recent cycles. Incumbent Maxine Dexter secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary without significant opposition, positioning her as the clear general-election frontrunner against Republican Loran Ayles. Trader consensus around a 94 percent probability for the Democratic nominee aligns with the seat's structural advantages, including high Democratic registration and urban voter concentration in the Portland area. A national political shift of historic scale or an unforeseen personal development affecting the incumbent could narrow the margin, though historical patterns in similarly rated districts show limited volatility.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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