Incumbent Democrat Melanie Stansbury holds a commanding position in New Mexico's 1st congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 92.5 percent. The seat carries a D+7 partisan voting index and has delivered consistent Democratic margins, including Stansbury's 56.4 percent win in the prior cycle. Her unopposed primary and committee role on energy and natural resources align with district priorities, while the Republican nominee faces limited visibility and resources in a district where Democrats hold structural advantages in turnout and voter registration. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic. Late developments such as a national political shift, candidate health events, or unforeseen scandals could still narrow the gap, though no such factors have emerged in recent months.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNM-01 House Election Winner
NM-01 House Election Winner
$26,880 KL.
$26,880 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
$26,880 KL.
$26,880 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$16,355 KL.
93%
Republican Party
$10,525 KL.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Melanie Stansbury holds a commanding position in New Mexico's 1st congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 92.5 percent. The seat carries a D+7 partisan voting index and has delivered consistent Democratic margins, including Stansbury's 56.4 percent win in the prior cycle. Her unopposed primary and committee role on energy and natural resources align with district priorities, while the Republican nominee faces limited visibility and resources in a district where Democrats hold structural advantages in turnout and voter registration. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic. Late developments such as a national political shift, candidate health events, or unforeseen scandals could still narrow the gap, though no such factors have emerged in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Khối lượng
$26,880Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Melanie Stansbury holds a commanding position in New Mexico's 1st congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 92.5 percent. The seat carries a D+7 partisan voting index and has delivered consistent Democratic margins, including Stansbury's 56.4 percent win in the prior cycle. Her unopposed primary and committee role on energy and natural resources align with district priorities, while the Republican nominee faces limited visibility and resources in a district where Democrats hold structural advantages in turnout and voter registration. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic. Late developments such as a national political shift, candidate health events, or unforeseen scandals could still narrow the gap, though no such factors have emerged in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$26,880Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Melanie Stansbury holds a commanding position in New Mexico's 1st congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 92.5 percent. The seat carries a D+7 partisan voting index and has delivered consistent Democratic margins, including Stansbury's 56.4 percent win in the prior cycle. Her unopposed primary and committee role on energy and natural resources align with district priorities, while the Republican nominee faces limited visibility and resources in a district where Democrats hold structural advantages in turnout and voter registration. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic. Late developments such as a national political shift, candidate health events, or unforeseen scandals could still narrow the gap, though no such factors have emerged in recent months.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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