Anthropic’s accelerated release cadence for its Opus-tier large language models drives current trader sentiment around the next Claude Opus, with Opus 5 launching July 24, 2026—just six weeks after Opus 4.8 and weeks after the Fable 5 and Sonnet 5 family arrived. The new model delivers frontier-level reasoning and coding performance at roughly half the price of Fable 5 while adding a 1M-token context window and multi-level reasoning modes, reflecting Anthropic’s focus on efficiency gains amid competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google model updates. No official timeline or announcement exists yet for a follow-on Opus release or 5.1 variant, though the prior pattern of point releases every six to ten weeks and the recent Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 updates on September 1 suggest traders are watching for signals around developer conferences, benchmark improvements, or regulatory developments that could accelerate or delay the next iteration.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$90,496 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
September 30
82%
October 31
98%
December 31
99%
$90,496 KL.
September 30
$30,803 KL.
82%
October 31
$13,257 KL.
98%
December 31
$4,922 KL.
99%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s accelerated release cadence for its Opus-tier large language models drives current trader sentiment around the next Claude Opus, with Opus 5 launching July 24, 2026—just six weeks after Opus 4.8 and weeks after the Fable 5 and Sonnet 5 family arrived. The new model delivers frontier-level reasoning and coding performance at roughly half the price of Fable 5 while adding a 1M-token context window and multi-level reasoning modes, reflecting Anthropic’s focus on efficiency gains amid competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google model updates. No official timeline or announcement exists yet for a follow-on Opus release or 5.1 variant, though the prior pattern of point releases every six to ten weeks and the recent Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 updates on September 1 suggest traders are watching for signals around developer conferences, benchmark improvements, or regulatory developments that could accelerate or delay the next iteration.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Jul 28, 2026, 6:32 PM ET
Khối lượng
$90,496Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Jul 28, 2026, 6:32 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s accelerated release cadence for its Opus-tier large language models drives current trader sentiment around the next Claude Opus, with Opus 5 launching July 24, 2026—just six weeks after Opus 4.8 and weeks after the Fable 5 and Sonnet 5 family arrived. The new model delivers frontier-level reasoning and coding performance at roughly half the price of Fable 5 while adding a 1M-token context window and multi-level reasoning modes, reflecting Anthropic’s focus on efficiency gains amid competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google model updates. No official timeline or announcement exists yet for a follow-on Opus release or 5.1 variant, though the prior pattern of point releases every six to ten weeks and the recent Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 updates on September 1 suggest traders are watching for signals around developer conferences, benchmark improvements, or regulatory developments that could accelerate or delay the next iteration.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$90,496Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Jul 28, 2026, 6:32 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s accelerated release cadence for its Opus-tier large language models drives current trader sentiment around the next Claude Opus, with Opus 5 launching July 24, 2026—just six weeks after Opus 4.8 and weeks after the Fable 5 and Sonnet 5 family arrived. The new model delivers frontier-level reasoning and coding performance at roughly half the price of Fable 5 while adding a 1M-token context window and multi-level reasoning modes, reflecting Anthropic’s focus on efficiency gains amid competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google model updates. No official timeline or announcement exists yet for a follow-on Opus release or 5.1 variant, though the prior pattern of point releases every six to ten weeks and the recent Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 updates on September 1 suggest traders are watching for signals around developer conferences, benchmark improvements, or regulatory developments that could accelerate or delay the next iteration.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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