The Washington Wizards' firm stance against entertaining trade offers for Anthony Davis stands as the dominant factor behind the 95.6% implied probability he remains in place through the 2026-27 season. Acquired in a February 2026 deal, Davis holds a guaranteed $58.5 million salary for the upcoming campaign plus a player option, while remaining eligible for a lucrative extension. Recent team statements and Davis's own comments about playing all 82 games reinforce organizational commitment and roster stability. Although his massive contract and age create long-term flexibility concerns that could reopen discussions, the current lack of active suitors or internal signals points to continuity as the baseline expectation among traders.