**Nawaf Salam has served as Lebanon’s prime minister since February 2025 under President Joseph Aoun, leading a reform-oriented cabinet that secured broad parliamentary confidence.** Parliament postponed the originally scheduled May 2026 elections to 2028 amid the ongoing 2026 Lebanon war and related security challenges, extending the current mandate and removing a key trigger for government change. As of mid-August 2026, Salam remains actively engaged in reconstruction efforts in the south, diplomatic outreach on Israeli withdrawal timelines, and measures to assert state authority over armed groups, with no verified moves toward resignation, dismissal, or major coalition rupture. These factors underpin trader consensus that he will not leave office before year-end 2026.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?
Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?
11% khả năng
MỚI
MỚI
Dec 30, 2026
11% khả năng
MỚI
MỚI
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nawaf Salam ceases to be Prime Minister of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Nawaf Salam has served as Lebanon’s prime minister since February 2025 under President Joseph Aoun, leading a reform-oriented cabinet that secured broad parliamentary confidence.**
Parliament postponed the originally scheduled May 2026 elections to 2028 amid the ongoing 2026 Lebanon war and related security challenges, extending the current mandate and removing a key trigger for government change. As of mid-August 2026, Salam remains actively engaged in reconstruction efforts in the south, diplomatic outreach on Israeli withdrawal timelines, and measures to assert state authority over armed groups, with no verified moves toward resignation, dismissal, or major coalition rupture. These factors underpin trader consensus that he will not leave office before year-end 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nawaf Salam ceases to be Prime Minister of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Apr 20, 2026, 5:29 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,148Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 20, 2026, 5:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nawaf Salam ceases to be Prime Minister of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Nawaf Salam has served as Lebanon’s prime minister since February 2025 under President Joseph Aoun, leading a reform-oriented cabinet that secured broad parliamentary confidence.**
Parliament postponed the originally scheduled May 2026 elections to 2028 amid the ongoing 2026 Lebanon war and related security challenges, extending the current mandate and removing a key trigger for government change. As of mid-August 2026, Salam remains actively engaged in reconstruction efforts in the south, diplomatic outreach on Israeli withdrawal timelines, and measures to assert state authority over armed groups, with no verified moves toward resignation, dismissal, or major coalition rupture. These factors underpin trader consensus that he will not leave office before year-end 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nawaf Salam ceases to be Prime Minister of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$1,148Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 20, 2026, 5:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Nawaf Salam has served as Lebanon’s prime minister since February 2025 under President Joseph Aoun, leading a reform-oriented cabinet that secured broad parliamentary confidence.** Parliament postponed the originally scheduled May 2026 elections to 2028 amid the ongoing 2026 Lebanon war and related security challenges, extending the current mandate and removing a key trigger for government change. As of mid-August 2026, Salam remains actively engaged in reconstruction efforts in the south, diplomatic outreach on Israeli withdrawal timelines, and measures to assert state authority over armed groups, with no verified moves toward resignation, dismissal, or major coalition rupture. These factors underpin trader consensus that he will not leave office before year-end 2026.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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