The closely balanced 50.5% implied probability for Mega Charizard Y ex prices rising by September 30 reflects uncertainty around the Pokémon TCG's 30th Celebration expansion, set for simultaneous global release on September 16. This anniversary set, featuring high-profile illustration rares and premium products like Elite Trainer Boxes, is expected to drive broad collector interest and nostalgia-fueled demand for iconic older cards, potentially lifting secondary-market values in the two weeks following launch. Counterbalancing factors include recent tin releases tied to the Mega Evolution—Ascended Heroes expansion, which have added fresh supply of Charizard-themed promos and could temper short-term gains for specific ex variants amid shifting focus to new product. Trader sentiment also weighs typical post-release volatility in the TCG space, where hype can boost popular chase cards like Mega Charizard Y ex but competition from fresh meta options and chart fluctuations often creates mixed results. A strong opening weekend for the 30th Celebration set or positive early sales data would likely tip odds toward "Up," while muted reception or rapid sell-through of new stock could favor stability or declines.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMega Charizard Y ex Price Over/Under $405.34 on September 30?
Mega Charizard Y ex Price Over/Under $405.34 on September 30?
Over
51% khả năng
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 30, 2026
Over
51% khả năng
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Over” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes, Mega Hyper Rare 294/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $405.34.
This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes, Mega Hyper Rare 294/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $405.34.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes, Mega Hyper Rare 294/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $405.34.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).The closely balanced 50.5% implied probability for Mega Charizard Y ex prices rising by September 30 reflects uncertainty around the Pokémon TCG's 30th Celebration expansion, set for simultaneous global release on September 16. This anniversary set, featuring high-profile illustration rares and premium products like Elite Trainer Boxes, is expected to drive broad collector interest and nostalgia-fueled demand for iconic older cards, potentially lifting secondary-market values in the two weeks following launch. Counterbalancing factors include recent tin releases tied to the Mega Evolution—Ascended Heroes expansion, which have added fresh supply of Charizard-themed promos and could temper short-term gains for specific ex variants amid shifting focus to new product. Trader sentiment also weighs typical post-release volatility in the TCG space, where hype can boost popular chase cards like Mega Charizard Y ex but competition from fresh meta options and chart fluctuations often creates mixed results. A strong opening weekend for the 30th Celebration set or positive early sales data would likely tip odds toward "Up," while muted reception or rapid sell-through of new stock could favor stability or declines.
This market will resolve to “Over” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes, Mega Hyper Rare 294/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $405.34.
This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes, Mega Hyper Rare 294/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $405.34.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes, Mega Hyper Rare 294/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $405.34.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes, Mega Hyper Rare 294/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $405.34.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes, Mega Hyper Rare 294/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $405.34.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
Thị trường mở: Aug 24, 2026, 3:08 PM ET
Khối lượng
$513Ngày kết thúc
Sep 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 24, 2026, 3:08 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://app.getcollectr.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Over” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes, Mega Hyper Rare 294/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $405.34.
This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes, Mega Hyper Rare 294/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $405.34.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes, Mega Hyper Rare 294/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $405.34.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).The closely balanced 50.5% implied probability for Mega Charizard Y ex prices rising by September 30 reflects uncertainty around the Pokémon TCG's 30th Celebration expansion, set for simultaneous global release on September 16. This anniversary set, featuring high-profile illustration rares and premium products like Elite Trainer Boxes, is expected to drive broad collector interest and nostalgia-fueled demand for iconic older cards, potentially lifting secondary-market values in the two weeks following launch. Counterbalancing factors include recent tin releases tied to the Mega Evolution—Ascended Heroes expansion, which have added fresh supply of Charizard-themed promos and could temper short-term gains for specific ex variants amid shifting focus to new product. Trader sentiment also weighs typical post-release volatility in the TCG space, where hype can boost popular chase cards like Mega Charizard Y ex but competition from fresh meta options and chart fluctuations often creates mixed results. A strong opening weekend for the 30th Celebration set or positive early sales data would likely tip odds toward "Up," while muted reception or rapid sell-through of new stock could favor stability or declines.
This market will resolve to “Over” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes, Mega Hyper Rare 294/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $405.34.
This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes, Mega Hyper Rare 294/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $405.34.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes, Mega Hyper Rare 294/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $405.34.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes, Mega Hyper Rare 294/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $405.34.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes, Mega Hyper Rare 294/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $405.34.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
Khối lượng
$513Ngày kết thúc
Sep 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 24, 2026, 3:08 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://app.getcollectr.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...The closely balanced 50.5% implied probability for Mega Charizard Y ex prices rising by September 30 reflects uncertainty around the Pokémon TCG's 30th Celebration expansion, set for simultaneous global release on September 16. This anniversary set, featuring high-profile illustration rares and premium products like Elite Trainer Boxes, is expected to drive broad collector interest and nostalgia-fueled demand for iconic older cards, potentially lifting secondary-market values in the two weeks following launch. Counterbalancing factors include recent tin releases tied to the Mega Evolution—Ascended Heroes expansion, which have added fresh supply of Charizard-themed promos and could temper short-term gains for specific ex variants amid shifting focus to new product. Trader sentiment also weighs typical post-release volatility in the TCG space, where hype can boost popular chase cards like Mega Charizard Y ex but competition from fresh meta options and chart fluctuations often creates mixed results. A strong opening weekend for the 30th Celebration set or positive early sales data would likely tip odds toward "Up," while muted reception or rapid sell-through of new stock could favor stability or declines.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp