The closely matched market-implied odds reflect substantial uncertainty in the exact minimum temperature driven by an incoming northeasterly wind surge expected to reach northern Taiwan around September 9–10. This monsoon flow advects cooler maritime air while increasing cloud cover and scattered showers, which limits daytime solar heating yet may reduce nocturnal radiative cooling and produce a narrower diurnal range than typical September conditions (historical lows near 24°C). Model consensus points to overnight lows in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius, with resolution hinging on precise timing of heaviest rain, wind speeds, and any local urban heat-island effects. Central Weather Administration forecast updates and the next model runs over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen trader assessments ahead of market close.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Taipei on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Taipei on September 10?
20°C 39%
27°C 38%
28°C 38%
29°C or higher 34%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 10, 2026
19°C or below
18%
20°C
39%
21°C
20%
22°C
20%
23°C
27%
24°C
28%
25°C
21%
26°C
20%
27°C
38%
28°C
38%
29°C or higher
34%
20°C 39%
27°C 38%
28°C 38%
29°C or higher 34%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 10, 2026
19°C or below
$0 KL.
18%
20°C
$0 KL.
39%
21°C
$0 KL.
20%
22°C
$0 KL.
20%
23°C
$0 KL.
27%
24°C
$0 KL.
28%
25°C
$0 KL.
21%
26°C
$0 KL.
20%
27°C
$25 KL.
38%
28°C
$30 KL.
38%
29°C or higher
$25 KL.
34%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched market-implied odds reflect substantial uncertainty in the exact minimum temperature driven by an incoming northeasterly wind surge expected to reach northern Taiwan around September 9–10. This monsoon flow advects cooler maritime air while increasing cloud cover and scattered showers, which limits daytime solar heating yet may reduce nocturnal radiative cooling and produce a narrower diurnal range than typical September conditions (historical lows near 24°C). Model consensus points to overnight lows in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius, with resolution hinging on precise timing of heaviest rain, wind speeds, and any local urban heat-island effects. Central Weather Administration forecast updates and the next model runs over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen trader assessments ahead of market close.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$80Ngày kết thúc
Sep 10, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched market-implied odds reflect substantial uncertainty in the exact minimum temperature driven by an incoming northeasterly wind surge expected to reach northern Taiwan around September 9–10. This monsoon flow advects cooler maritime air while increasing cloud cover and scattered showers, which limits daytime solar heating yet may reduce nocturnal radiative cooling and produce a narrower diurnal range than typical September conditions (historical lows near 24°C). Model consensus points to overnight lows in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius, with resolution hinging on precise timing of heaviest rain, wind speeds, and any local urban heat-island effects. Central Weather Administration forecast updates and the next model runs over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen trader assessments ahead of market close.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$80Ngày kết thúc
Sep 10, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched market-implied odds reflect substantial uncertainty in the exact minimum temperature driven by an incoming northeasterly wind surge expected to reach northern Taiwan around September 9–10. This monsoon flow advects cooler maritime air while increasing cloud cover and scattered showers, which limits daytime solar heating yet may reduce nocturnal radiative cooling and produce a narrower diurnal range than typical September conditions (historical lows near 24°C). Model consensus points to overnight lows in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius, with resolution hinging on precise timing of heaviest rain, wind speeds, and any local urban heat-island effects. Central Weather Administration forecast updates and the next model runs over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen trader assessments ahead of market close.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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