**Recent forecasts from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration, WeatherBug, and Met Office consistently project overnight lows of 19–20°C for Incheon/Seoul on September 7, 2026, under clear to mostly clear skies with light northeasterly winds.** These conditions favor moderate radiative cooling overnight without significant cloud cover or moisture to retain heat, aligning with the market's strong consensus on 20°C (49.5% implied probability) and 19°C (31.5%). September marks Seoul's early autumn transition, with historical average September minimums near 17.7°C (1991–2020 normals) providing context, though recent days have featured warmer overnight readings around 19°C amid stable high pressure. No major synoptic shifts, such as incoming cold fronts or typhoon influences, appear in current model runs, supporting the tight clustering of probabilities between 18–21°C. Traders appear to be weighting the latest deterministic and ensemble guidance, which shows minimal day-to-day volatility in this period. Upcoming official briefings or updated model outputs from KMA or regional agencies could refine these estimates if wind patterns or dew points shift.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 7?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 7?
20°C 45%
19°C 27%
17°C 8.1%
18°C 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 7, 2026
14°C or below
1%
15°C
5%
16°C
2%
17°C
8%
18°C
8%
19°C
32%
20°C
45%
21°C
8%
22°C
2%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
3%
20°C 45%
19°C 27%
17°C 8.1%
18°C 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 7, 2026
14°C or below
$65 KL.
1%
15°C
$290 KL.
5%
16°C
$6 KL.
2%
17°C
$0 KL.
8%
18°C
$87 KL.
8%
19°C
$88 KL.
32%
20°C
$410 KL.
45%
21°C
$524 KL.
8%
22°C
$10 KL.
2%
23°C
$185 KL.
<1%
24°C or higher
$232 KL.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration, WeatherBug, and Met Office consistently project overnight lows of 19–20°C for Incheon/Seoul on September 7, 2026, under clear to mostly clear skies with light northeasterly winds.** These conditions favor moderate radiative cooling overnight without significant cloud cover or moisture to retain heat, aligning with the market's strong consensus on 20°C (49.5% implied probability) and 19°C (31.5%).
September marks Seoul's early autumn transition, with historical average September minimums near 17.7°C (1991–2020 normals) providing context, though recent days have featured warmer overnight readings around 19°C amid stable high pressure. No major synoptic shifts, such as incoming cold fronts or typhoon influences, appear in current model runs, supporting the tight clustering of probabilities between 18–21°C. Traders appear to be weighting the latest deterministic and ensemble guidance, which shows minimal day-to-day volatility in this period.
Upcoming official briefings or updated model outputs from KMA or regional agencies could refine these estimates if wind patterns or dew points shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,898Ngày kết thúc
Sep 7, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration, WeatherBug, and Met Office consistently project overnight lows of 19–20°C for Incheon/Seoul on September 7, 2026, under clear to mostly clear skies with light northeasterly winds.** These conditions favor moderate radiative cooling overnight without significant cloud cover or moisture to retain heat, aligning with the market's strong consensus on 20°C (49.5% implied probability) and 19°C (31.5%).
September marks Seoul's early autumn transition, with historical average September minimums near 17.7°C (1991–2020 normals) providing context, though recent days have featured warmer overnight readings around 19°C amid stable high pressure. No major synoptic shifts, such as incoming cold fronts or typhoon influences, appear in current model runs, supporting the tight clustering of probabilities between 18–21°C. Traders appear to be weighting the latest deterministic and ensemble guidance, which shows minimal day-to-day volatility in this period.
Upcoming official briefings or updated model outputs from KMA or regional agencies could refine these estimates if wind patterns or dew points shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,898Ngày kết thúc
Sep 7, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration, WeatherBug, and Met Office consistently project overnight lows of 19–20°C for Incheon/Seoul on September 7, 2026, under clear to mostly clear skies with light northeasterly winds.** These conditions favor moderate radiative cooling overnight without significant cloud cover or moisture to retain heat, aligning with the market's strong consensus on 20°C (49.5% implied probability) and 19°C (31.5%). September marks Seoul's early autumn transition, with historical average September minimums near 17.7°C (1991–2020 normals) providing context, though recent days have featured warmer overnight readings around 19°C amid stable high pressure. No major synoptic shifts, such as incoming cold fronts or typhoon influences, appear in current model runs, supporting the tight clustering of probabilities between 18–21°C. Traders appear to be weighting the latest deterministic and ensemble guidance, which shows minimal day-to-day volatility in this period. Upcoming official briefings or updated model outputs from KMA or regional agencies could refine these estimates if wind patterns or dew points shift.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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