Current forecast consensus from Météo-France-aligned models and observational networks shows Paris under persistent overcast skies with moderate southwesterly flow, producing an expected overnight minimum of 17°C for August 30. Recent days have featured above-normal warmth and moisture that limited radiational cooling, keeping the diurnal range compressed around the seasonal average high near 24°C. This data aligns with the 97.5% market-implied probability for 17°C as the daily low. A realistic challenge would require rapid clearing after sunset or an unforecasted cold advection that enhances nocturnal cooling below 16°C, though model agreement and current pressure patterns make such shifts unlikely before midnight.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Paris on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 30?
17°C 98%
16°C 2%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
$7,548 KL.
$7,548 KL.
Aug 30, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
98%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
17°C 98%
16°C 2%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
$7,548 KL.
$7,548 KL.
Aug 30, 2026
12°C or below
$358 KL.
<1%
13°C
$406 KL.
<1%
14°C
$158 KL.
<1%
15°C
$405 KL.
<1%
16°C
$1,212 KL.
2%
17°C
$1,988 KL.
98%
18°C
$1,758 KL.
<1%
19°C
$785 KL.
<1%
20°C
$158 KL.
<1%
21°C
$274 KL.
<1%
22°C or higher
$45 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from Météo-France-aligned models and observational networks shows Paris under persistent overcast skies with moderate southwesterly flow, producing an expected overnight minimum of 17°C for August 30. Recent days have featured above-normal warmth and moisture that limited radiational cooling, keeping the diurnal range compressed around the seasonal average high near 24°C. This data aligns with the 97.5% market-implied probability for 17°C as the daily low. A realistic challenge would require rapid clearing after sunset or an unforecasted cold advection that enhances nocturnal cooling below 16°C, though model agreement and current pressure patterns make such shifts unlikely before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$7,548Ngày kết thúc
Aug 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from Météo-France-aligned models and observational networks shows Paris under persistent overcast skies with moderate southwesterly flow, producing an expected overnight minimum of 17°C for August 30. Recent days have featured above-normal warmth and moisture that limited radiational cooling, keeping the diurnal range compressed around the seasonal average high near 24°C. This data aligns with the 97.5% market-implied probability for 17°C as the daily low. A realistic challenge would require rapid clearing after sunset or an unforecasted cold advection that enhances nocturnal cooling below 16°C, though model agreement and current pressure patterns make such shifts unlikely before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$7,548Ngày kết thúc
Aug 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from Météo-France-aligned models and observational networks shows Paris under persistent overcast skies with moderate southwesterly flow, producing an expected overnight minimum of 17°C for August 30. Recent days have featured above-normal warmth and moisture that limited radiational cooling, keeping the diurnal range compressed around the seasonal average high near 24°C. This data aligns with the 97.5% market-implied probability for 17°C as the daily low. A realistic challenge would require rapid clearing after sunset or an unforecasted cold advection that enhances nocturnal cooling below 16°C, though model agreement and current pressure patterns make such shifts unlikely before midnight.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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