**Current forecasts for Moscow's overnight low into September 9 center on 6–8°C, with model outputs and official guidance pointing to a minimum near 7°C under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds.** Northwesterly flow earlier in the week has kept temperatures below seasonal norms, and radiational cooling overnight on mostly clear conditions supports the lower end of the range, while any increase in cloud cover or wind would limit the drop. Historical averages place the September 9 low near 9°C, with records as low as 3.1°C, but current guidance from sources such as the Hydrometeorological Center and global models (GFS) shows limited potential for sub-5°C readings without stronger cold-air advection. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 5–7°C outcomes because ensemble spreads cluster in that band, with lighter tails for extremes; resolution will depend on the official station reading once the calendar day ends.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Moscow on September 9?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on September 9?
5°C 34%
6°C 31%
3°C 27%
4°C 27%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 9, 2026
0°C or below
5%
1°C
9%
2°C
9%
3°C
27%
4°C
27%
5°C
34%
6°C
31%
7°C
27%
8°C
6%
9°C
8%
10°C or higher
17%
5°C 34%
6°C 31%
3°C 27%
4°C 27%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 9, 2026
0°C or below
$73 KL.
5%
1°C
$53 KL.
9%
2°C
$20 KL.
9%
3°C
$0 KL.
27%
4°C
$20 KL.
27%
5°C
$0 KL.
34%
6°C
$16 KL.
31%
7°C
$12 KL.
27%
8°C
$10 KL.
6%
9°C
$72 KL.
8%
10°C or higher
$25 KL.
17%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts for Moscow's overnight low into September 9 center on 6–8°C, with model outputs and official guidance pointing to a minimum near 7°C under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds.**
Northwesterly flow earlier in the week has kept temperatures below seasonal norms, and radiational cooling overnight on mostly clear conditions supports the lower end of the range, while any increase in cloud cover or wind would limit the drop. Historical averages place the September 9 low near 9°C, with records as low as 3.1°C, but current guidance from sources such as the Hydrometeorological Center and global models (GFS) shows limited potential for sub-5°C readings without stronger cold-air advection.
Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 5–7°C outcomes because ensemble spreads cluster in that band, with lighter tails for extremes; resolution will depend on the official station reading once the calendar day ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$291Ngày kết thúc
Sep 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts for Moscow's overnight low into September 9 center on 6–8°C, with model outputs and official guidance pointing to a minimum near 7°C under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds.**
Northwesterly flow earlier in the week has kept temperatures below seasonal norms, and radiational cooling overnight on mostly clear conditions supports the lower end of the range, while any increase in cloud cover or wind would limit the drop. Historical averages place the September 9 low near 9°C, with records as low as 3.1°C, but current guidance from sources such as the Hydrometeorological Center and global models (GFS) shows limited potential for sub-5°C readings without stronger cold-air advection.
Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 5–7°C outcomes because ensemble spreads cluster in that band, with lighter tails for extremes; resolution will depend on the official station reading once the calendar day ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$291Ngày kết thúc
Sep 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts for Moscow's overnight low into September 9 center on 6–8°C, with model outputs and official guidance pointing to a minimum near 7°C under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds.** Northwesterly flow earlier in the week has kept temperatures below seasonal norms, and radiational cooling overnight on mostly clear conditions supports the lower end of the range, while any increase in cloud cover or wind would limit the drop. Historical averages place the September 9 low near 9°C, with records as low as 3.1°C, but current guidance from sources such as the Hydrometeorological Center and global models (GFS) shows limited potential for sub-5°C readings without stronger cold-air advection. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 5–7°C outcomes because ensemble spreads cluster in that band, with lighter tails for extremes; resolution will depend on the official station reading once the calendar day ends.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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