**Mild overnight conditions and stable atmospheric patterns underpin the near-certain market consensus for a 15°C minimum in London on September 6.** Official forecasts from the Met Office and model guidance indicate daytime highs near 24–26°C under partly cloudy skies with southerly flow, followed by overnight lows settling around 15–18°C as skies clear modestly and winds remain light. This aligns with typical early-September climatology, where average lows hover near 12–14°C but current high pressure and warmer air advection support the higher end. With resolution imminent and no significant model spread or incoming fronts projected, traders assign overwhelming implied probability to 15°C. Only a sharp, unexpected increase in cloud cover or localized measurement variance at official stations could realistically shift the recorded minimum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in London on September 6?
Lowest temperature in London on September 6?
15°C 99.5%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 6, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
100%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
15°C 99.5%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 6, 2026
10°C or below
$55 KL.
<1%
11°C
$65 KL.
<1%
12°C
$240 KL.
<1%
13°C
$426 KL.
<1%
14°C
$2,988 KL.
<1%
15°C
$2,546 KL.
100%
16°C
$2,522 KL.
<1%
17°C
$152 KL.
<1%
18°C
$65 KL.
<1%
19°C
$65 KL.
<1%
20°C or higher
$75 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Mild overnight conditions and stable atmospheric patterns underpin the near-certain market consensus for a 15°C minimum in London on September 6.** Official forecasts from the Met Office and model guidance indicate daytime highs near 24–26°C under partly cloudy skies with southerly flow, followed by overnight lows settling around 15–18°C as skies clear modestly and winds remain light. This aligns with typical early-September climatology, where average lows hover near 12–14°C but current high pressure and warmer air advection support the higher end. With resolution imminent and no significant model spread or incoming fronts projected, traders assign overwhelming implied probability to 15°C. Only a sharp, unexpected increase in cloud cover or localized measurement variance at official stations could realistically shift the recorded minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$9,201Ngày kết thúc
Sep 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Mild overnight conditions and stable atmospheric patterns underpin the near-certain market consensus for a 15°C minimum in London on September 6.** Official forecasts from the Met Office and model guidance indicate daytime highs near 24–26°C under partly cloudy skies with southerly flow, followed by overnight lows settling around 15–18°C as skies clear modestly and winds remain light. This aligns with typical early-September climatology, where average lows hover near 12–14°C but current high pressure and warmer air advection support the higher end. With resolution imminent and no significant model spread or incoming fronts projected, traders assign overwhelming implied probability to 15°C. Only a sharp, unexpected increase in cloud cover or localized measurement variance at official stations could realistically shift the recorded minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$9,201Ngày kết thúc
Sep 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Mild overnight conditions and stable atmospheric patterns underpin the near-certain market consensus for a 15°C minimum in London on September 6.** Official forecasts from the Met Office and model guidance indicate daytime highs near 24–26°C under partly cloudy skies with southerly flow, followed by overnight lows settling around 15–18°C as skies clear modestly and winds remain light. This aligns with typical early-September climatology, where average lows hover near 12–14°C but current high pressure and warmer air advection support the higher end. With resolution imminent and no significant model spread or incoming fronts projected, traders assign overwhelming implied probability to 15°C. Only a sharp, unexpected increase in cloud cover or localized measurement variance at official stations could realistically shift the recorded minimum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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