Official Met Office and ECMWF guidance for London on July 22 project a nighttime minimum near 16°C under sunny intervals and light winds, consistent with July climatology of 13–15°C lows. Trader consensus nonetheless assigns 45% to 12°C or below, reflecting notable ensemble spread in nocturnal radiative cooling under potential high-pressure setups that could clear skies and drop temperatures further if dew points fall or wind speeds remain below 5 km/h. Key differentiating variables include forecast cloud cover, which traps heat and raises minima by 2–4°C, versus drier air masses that enhance surface heat loss; recent model runs show modest variability in these parameters over the next 48 hours, keeping the 13–16°C range tightly bunched at 35–36% while capping warmer outcomes below 12%.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in London on July 22?
Lowest temperature in London on July 22?
16°C 83%
17°C 14%
15°C 5.4%
18°C 3.3%
MỚI
$15,461 KL.
MỚI
$15,461 KL.
Jul 22, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
5%
16°C
69%
17°C
19%
18°C
3%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
16°C 83%
17°C 14%
15°C 5.4%
18°C 3.3%
MỚI
$15,461 KL.
MỚI
$15,461 KL.
Jul 22, 2026
12°C or below
$504 KL.
<1%
13°C
$531 KL.
<1%
14°C
$1,074 KL.
2%
15°C
$815 KL.
5%
16°C
$4,240 KL.
69%
17°C
$4,640 KL.
19%
18°C
$1,553 KL.
3%
19°C
$868 KL.
<1%
20°C
$445 KL.
<1%
21°C
$242 KL.
<1%
22°C or higher
$547 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office and ECMWF guidance for London on July 22 project a nighttime minimum near 16°C under sunny intervals and light winds, consistent with July climatology of 13–15°C lows. Trader consensus nonetheless assigns 45% to 12°C or below, reflecting notable ensemble spread in nocturnal radiative cooling under potential high-pressure setups that could clear skies and drop temperatures further if dew points fall or wind speeds remain below 5 km/h. Key differentiating variables include forecast cloud cover, which traps heat and raises minima by 2–4°C, versus drier air masses that enhance surface heat loss; recent model runs show modest variability in these parameters over the next 48 hours, keeping the 13–16°C range tightly bunched at 35–36% while capping warmer outcomes below 12%.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$15,461Ngày kết thúc
Jul 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office and ECMWF guidance for London on July 22 project a nighttime minimum near 16°C under sunny intervals and light winds, consistent with July climatology of 13–15°C lows. Trader consensus nonetheless assigns 45% to 12°C or below, reflecting notable ensemble spread in nocturnal radiative cooling under potential high-pressure setups that could clear skies and drop temperatures further if dew points fall or wind speeds remain below 5 km/h. Key differentiating variables include forecast cloud cover, which traps heat and raises minima by 2–4°C, versus drier air masses that enhance surface heat loss; recent model runs show modest variability in these parameters over the next 48 hours, keeping the 13–16°C range tightly bunched at 35–36% while capping warmer outcomes below 12%.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$15,461Ngày kết thúc
Jul 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Met Office and ECMWF guidance for London on July 22 project a nighttime minimum near 16°C under sunny intervals and light winds, consistent with July climatology of 13–15°C lows. Trader consensus nonetheless assigns 45% to 12°C or below, reflecting notable ensemble spread in nocturnal radiative cooling under potential high-pressure setups that could clear skies and drop temperatures further if dew points fall or wind speeds remain below 5 km/h. Key differentiating variables include forecast cloud cover, which traps heat and raises minima by 2–4°C, versus drier air masses that enhance surface heat loss; recent model runs show modest variability in these parameters over the next 48 hours, keeping the 13–16°C range tightly bunched at 35–36% while capping warmer outcomes below 12%.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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