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Tài Chính·IPO

Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?

icon for Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?
Tài Chính·IPO

Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?

Goldman Sachs 63%

Morgan Stanley 41%

JPMorgan 2.5%

Barclays <1%

Polymarket

$47,439 KL.

Goldman Sachs 63%

Morgan Stanley 41%

JPMorgan 2.5%

Barclays <1%

Polymarket

$47,439 KL.

Morgan Stanley

$11,342 KL.

23%

Goldman Sachs

$7,386 KL.

63%

JPMorgan

$7,173 KL.

3%

Bank of America

$4,209 KL.

<1%

Citigroup

$4,355 KL.

<1%

Barclays

$2,704 KL.

<1%

UBS

$3,324 KL.

<1%

Deutsche Bank

$4,228 KL.

<1%

Wells Fargo

$2,716 KL.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Goldman Sachs holds a commanding 62.5% implied probability for the lead-left role in Anthropic’s expected fall 2026 IPO, reflecting its entrenched relationships with large technology issuers and recent momentum in securing top bookrunner positions on mega-deals. Market participants are pricing in Goldman’s edge in the ongoing “lead left” contest with Morgan Stanley, which sits at 23.0% amid reports that both banks were jointly selected as primary underwriters but have not finalized allocation hierarchy. JPMorgan’s lower 2.6% odds align with its supporting rather than lead involvement, while smaller banks trail due to limited mandates in this high-revenue AI listing. Recent investor meetings and Anthropic’s $5 billion-plus revenue run rate have reinforced expectations around a sizable offering, sharpening focus on which institution will control share allocation and drive syndication economics.

This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”

If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$47,439
Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2027
Thị trường mở
Jun 1, 2026, 5:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Goldman Sachs holds a commanding 62.5% implied probability for the lead-left role in Anthropic’s expected fall 2026 IPO, reflecting its entrenched relationships with large technology issuers and recent momentum in securing top bookrunner positions on mega-deals. Market participants are pricing in Goldman’s edge in the ongoing “lead left” contest with Morgan Stanley, which sits at 23.0% amid reports that both banks were jointly selected as primary underwriters but have not finalized allocation hierarchy. JPMorgan’s lower 2.6% odds align with its supporting rather than lead involvement, while smaller banks trail due to limited mandates in this high-revenue AI listing. Recent investor meetings and Anthropic’s $5 billion-plus revenue run rate have reinforced expectations around a sizable offering, sharpening focus on which institution will control share allocation and drive syndication economics.

This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”

If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$47,439
Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2027
Thị trường mở
Jun 1, 2026, 5:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Câu hỏi thường gặp

"Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?" là thị trường dự đoán trên Polymarket với 9 kết quả có thể nơi các nhà giao dịch mua và bán cổ phần dựa trên điều họ tin sẽ xảy ra. Kết quả dẫn đầu hiện tại là "Goldman Sachs" ở mức 63%, tiếp theo là "Morgan Stanley" ở mức 23%. Giá phản ánh xác suất cộng đồng theo thời gian thực. Ví dụ, cổ phần ở giá 63¢ ngụ ý thị trường tập thể cho rằng có 63% khả năng cho kết quả đó. Tỷ lệ này thay đổi liên tục khi trader phản ứng với diễn biến và thông tin mới. Cổ phần đúng kết quả có thể đổi lấy $1 mỗi cổ phần khi thị trường được giải quyết.

Tính đến hôm nay, "Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?" đã tạo $47.4K tổng khối lượng giao dịch kể từ khi thị trường mở vào Jun 1, 2026. Mức hoạt động giao dịch này phản ánh sự tham gia mạnh mẽ từ cộng đồng Polymarket và giúp đảm bảo tỷ lệ hiện tại được thông tin bởi nhóm người tham gia thị trường sâu rộng. Bạn có thể theo dõi biến động giá trực tiếp và giao dịch trên bất kỳ kết quả nào ngay trên trang này.

Để giao dịch trên "Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?," duyệt 9 kết quả có sẵn trên trang này. Mỗi kết quả hiển thị giá hiện tại đại diện cho xác suất ngụ ý của thị trường. Để mở vị thế, chọn kết quả bạn tin là có khả năng nhất, chọn "Có" để giao dịch ủng hộ hoặc "Không" để giao dịch chống, nhập số tiền và nhấn "Giao dịch." Nếu kết quả bạn chọn đúng khi thị trường giải quyết, cổ phần "Có" của bạn trả $1 mỗi cổ phần. Nếu sai, chúng trả $0. Bạn cũng có thể bán cổ phần bất cứ lúc nào trước khi giải quyết nếu muốn chốt lời hoặc cắt lỗ.

Ứng viên dẫn đầu hiện tại cho "Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?" là "Goldman Sachs" ở mức 63%, nghĩa là thị trường cho 63% khả năng cho kết quả đó. Kết quả gần nhất tiếp theo là "Morgan Stanley" ở mức 23%. Tỷ lệ cập nhật theo thời gian thực khi trader mua và bán cổ phần, phản ánh cái nhìn tập thể mới nhất về điều có khả năng xảy ra nhất. Kiểm tra thường xuyên hoặc đánh dấu trang này để theo dõi tỷ lệ thay đổi khi thông tin mới xuất hiện.

Quy tắc giải quyết cho "Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?" định nghĩa chính xác điều gì cần xảy ra để mỗi kết quả được tuyên bố thắng — bao gồm nguồn dữ liệu chính thức được sử dụng để xác định kết quả. Bạn có thể xem tiêu chí giải quyết đầy đủ trong phần "Quy tắc" trên trang này phía trên bình luận. Chúng tôi khuyên đọc kỹ quy tắc trước khi giao dịch, vì chúng chỉ rõ điều kiện, trường hợp ngoại lệ và nguồn chính xác quản lý cách thị trường được thanh toán.