The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Chicago-based urban core and historical voting patterns, underpins the 96.5% consensus for the Democratic nominee in the open-seat contest following incumbent Danny Davis's retirement. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, with state Representative La Shawn Ford advancing from the March primary against Republican Chad Koppie. Limited general-election competitiveness stems from the seat's partisan composition and fundraising dynamics favoring the Democratic side. While trader pricing accounts for the low likelihood of an upset, developments such as an unexpected national political shift, candidate-specific controversies emerging late in the cycle, or unusually high Republican turnout in down-ballot races could narrow margins, though such outcomes remain outside historical precedent for this district.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtIL-07 House Election Winner
IL-07 House Election Winner
$26,189 KL.
$26,189 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
97%
Republican Party
1%
$26,189 KL.
$26,189 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$12,012 KL.
97%
Republican Party
$14,177 KL.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Chicago-based urban core and historical voting patterns, underpins the 96.5% consensus for the Democratic nominee in the open-seat contest following incumbent Danny Davis's retirement. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, with state Representative La Shawn Ford advancing from the March primary against Republican Chad Koppie. Limited general-election competitiveness stems from the seat's partisan composition and fundraising dynamics favoring the Democratic side. While trader pricing accounts for the low likelihood of an upset, developments such as an unexpected national political shift, candidate-specific controversies emerging late in the cycle, or unusually high Republican turnout in down-ballot races could narrow margins, though such outcomes remain outside historical precedent for this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$26,189Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Chicago-based urban core and historical voting patterns, underpins the 96.5% consensus for the Democratic nominee in the open-seat contest following incumbent Danny Davis's retirement. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, with state Representative La Shawn Ford advancing from the March primary against Republican Chad Koppie. Limited general-election competitiveness stems from the seat's partisan composition and fundraising dynamics favoring the Democratic side. While trader pricing accounts for the low likelihood of an upset, developments such as an unexpected national political shift, candidate-specific controversies emerging late in the cycle, or unusually high Republican turnout in down-ballot races could narrow margins, though such outcomes remain outside historical precedent for this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$26,189Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Chicago-based urban core and historical voting patterns, underpins the 96.5% consensus for the Democratic nominee in the open-seat contest following incumbent Danny Davis's retirement. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, with state Representative La Shawn Ford advancing from the March primary against Republican Chad Koppie. Limited general-election competitiveness stems from the seat's partisan composition and fundraising dynamics favoring the Democratic side. While trader pricing accounts for the low likelihood of an upset, developments such as an unexpected national political shift, candidate-specific controversies emerging late in the cycle, or unusually high Republican turnout in down-ballot races could narrow margins, though such outcomes remain outside historical precedent for this district.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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