Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS, alongside IMGW guidance, indicate a maximum temperature of 25–27°C for Warsaw on August 7 under partly cloudy skies with light winds and modest daytime heating. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering at 25°C (39.5%) and 26°C (36%), reflecting model consensus on peak values near or slightly above the long-term August average of 23–25°C. Primary uncertainties center on exact cloud timing and any weak frontal passage that could cap afternoon temperatures by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and observational data overnight will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 7?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 7?
25°C 40%
26°C 37%
27°C 13%
24°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 7, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
9%
25°C
40%
26°C
37%
27°C
13%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 40%
26°C 37%
27°C 13%
24°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 7, 2026
22°C or below
$610 KL.
1%
23°C
$101 KL.
3%
24°C
$714 KL.
9%
25°C
$340 KL.
40%
26°C
$528 KL.
37%
27°C
$1,104 KL.
13%
28°C
$341 KL.
2%
29°C
$147 KL.
1%
30°C
$37 KL.
<1%
31°C
$80 KL.
<1%
32°C or higher
$457 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS, alongside IMGW guidance, indicate a maximum temperature of 25–27°C for Warsaw on August 7 under partly cloudy skies with light winds and modest daytime heating. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering at 25°C (39.5%) and 26°C (36%), reflecting model consensus on peak values near or slightly above the long-term August average of 23–25°C. Primary uncertainties center on exact cloud timing and any weak frontal passage that could cap afternoon temperatures by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and observational data overnight will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$4,459Ngày kết thúc
Aug 7, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS, alongside IMGW guidance, indicate a maximum temperature of 25–27°C for Warsaw on August 7 under partly cloudy skies with light winds and modest daytime heating. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering at 25°C (39.5%) and 26°C (36%), reflecting model consensus on peak values near or slightly above the long-term August average of 23–25°C. Primary uncertainties center on exact cloud timing and any weak frontal passage that could cap afternoon temperatures by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and observational data overnight will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$4,459Ngày kết thúc
Aug 7, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS, alongside IMGW guidance, indicate a maximum temperature of 25–27°C for Warsaw on August 7 under partly cloudy skies with light winds and modest daytime heating. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering at 25°C (39.5%) and 26°C (36%), reflecting model consensus on peak values near or slightly above the long-term August average of 23–25°C. Primary uncertainties center on exact cloud timing and any weak frontal passage that could cap afternoon temperatures by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and observational data overnight will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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