**Trader sentiment for Mexico City's highest temperature on September 6, 2026, centers on 24°C as the most probable outcome (51.5% implied probability), followed by 23°C (26%) and 25°C (18%).** This distribution reflects consensus from official forecasts and historical September climatology for the high-elevation capital. Mexico City’s typical early-September highs average near 22–24°C at stations like Benito Juárez International Airport, moderated by its 2,240-meter altitude and the ongoing rainy season. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered showers—common in late-summer patterns—limit daytime heating by reducing solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling. Recent model guidance and station observations show afternoon peaks reaching the low-to-mid 20s°C, with limited clearing allowing brief warming but no sustained conditions for 26°C or higher. Traders appear to weigh the balance between typical seasonal values and the suppressing effect of widespread rain and overcast skies, producing tight clustering around 23–25°C. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum from the primary monitoring station, with final data expected shortly after the close of the calendar day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Mexico City on September 6?
24°C 52%
23°C 26%
25°C 18%
22°C 5%
$10,257 KL.
$10,257 KL.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
5%
23°C
26%
24°C
52%
25°C
18%
26°C or higher
4%
24°C 52%
23°C 26%
25°C 18%
22°C 5%
$10,257 KL.
$10,257 KL.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
5%
23°C
26%
24°C
52%
25°C
18%
26°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 4, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Mexico City's highest temperature on September 6, 2026, centers on 24°C as the most probable outcome (51.5% implied probability), followed by 23°C (26%) and 25°C (18%).** This distribution reflects consensus from official forecasts and historical September climatology for the high-elevation capital. Mexico City’s typical early-September highs average near 22–24°C at stations like Benito Juárez International Airport, moderated by its 2,240-meter altitude and the ongoing rainy season. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered showers—common in late-summer patterns—limit daytime heating by reducing solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling. Recent model guidance and station observations show afternoon peaks reaching the low-to-mid 20s°C, with limited clearing allowing brief warming but no sustained conditions for 26°C or higher. Traders appear to weigh the balance between typical seasonal values and the suppressing effect of widespread rain and overcast skies, producing tight clustering around 23–25°C. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum from the primary monitoring station, with final data expected shortly after the close of the calendar day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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