Recent forecast guidance from meteorological agencies points to a daily maximum in Chengdu around 28–30°C on July 30, with scattered showers and increased cloud cover expected to limit peak heating in the Sichuan Basin. Model consensus shows modest disagreement on exact timing of precipitation and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the high by 1–2°C depending on convective development and local topography. These conditions align with typical late-July patterns of humid subtropical flow, where afternoon instability often caps temperatures below clear-sky potential. Traders assign roughly equal weight to the 28°C, 29°C, and 30°C bins because ensemble spreads remain wide just 48 hours ahead, and new model runs or observational updates could readily tip the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Chengdu on July 30?
28°C 28%
29°C 23%
27°C 22%
30°C 15%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
11%
26°C
7%
27°C
22%
28°C
28%
29°C
23%
30°C
15%
31°C or higher
5%
28°C 28%
29°C 23%
27°C 22%
30°C 15%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
11%
26°C
7%
27°C
22%
28°C
28%
29°C
23%
30°C
15%
31°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 28, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from meteorological agencies points to a daily maximum in Chengdu around 28–30°C on July 30, with scattered showers and increased cloud cover expected to limit peak heating in the Sichuan Basin. Model consensus shows modest disagreement on exact timing of precipitation and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the high by 1–2°C depending on convective development and local topography. These conditions align with typical late-July patterns of humid subtropical flow, where afternoon instability often caps temperatures below clear-sky potential. Traders assign roughly equal weight to the 28°C, 29°C, and 30°C bins because ensemble spreads remain wide just 48 hours ahead, and new model runs or observational updates could readily tip the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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