**Trader sentiment for Ankara’s July 29 maximum temperature centers on the tight spread between 27°C and 28°C (combined ~66% implied probability), reflecting ensemble forecast consensus from global and regional models showing highs near or slightly below the city’s ~30–31°C July climatological average.** Ankara’s high-elevation continental location on the Anatolian plateau favors rapid diurnal warming under clear, dry summer conditions, but current short-range guidance highlights modest variability from steering flow, boundary-layer moisture, and possible afternoon cloud development that could cap peak readings. Recent model runs exhibit a narrow range around 26–29°C, with limited upside risk for 30°C+ given stable high-pressure influence. Resolution hinges on the official Turkish Meteorological Service reading at the Etimesgut reference station, where even small forecast adjustments from updated runs can shift the modal outcome between the two leading bins.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Ankara on July 29?
28°C 43%
27°C 37%
29°C 12%
26°C 8%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
8%
27°C
37%
28°C
43%
29°C
12%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
28°C 43%
27°C 37%
29°C 12%
26°C 8%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
8%
27°C
37%
28°C
43%
29°C
12%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 27, 2026, 4:03 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Ankara’s July 29 maximum temperature centers on the tight spread between 27°C and 28°C (combined ~66% implied probability), reflecting ensemble forecast consensus from global and regional models showing highs near or slightly below the city’s ~30–31°C July climatological average.** Ankara’s high-elevation continental location on the Anatolian plateau favors rapid diurnal warming under clear, dry summer conditions, but current short-range guidance highlights modest variability from steering flow, boundary-layer moisture, and possible afternoon cloud development that could cap peak readings. Recent model runs exhibit a narrow range around 26–29°C, with limited upside risk for 30°C+ given stable high-pressure influence. Resolution hinges on the official Turkish Meteorological Service reading at the Etimesgut reference station, where even small forecast adjustments from updated runs can shift the modal outcome between the two leading bins.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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