Elon Musk’s tweet volume over the July 27-29 weekend remains highly uncertain, with markets showing 40-64 tweets as the narrow leader at 57% implied probability while sub-40 and several higher bins cluster tightly around 44-49%. Traders weigh his historically erratic pace—often spiking above 100 posts amid company news, regulatory developments, or viral moments—against the quieter holiday-adjacent period and recent averages from comparable three-day stretches. Key swing factors include any sudden X platform announcements or personal commentary that could push totals into the 90-114 or 190+ ranges favored by the next tier of odds. The spread underscores how quickly sentiment can shift with real-time activity rather than fixed patterns.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật40-64 46%
65-89 30%
90-114 11%
<40 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Jul 29, 2026
<40
10%
40-64
46%
65-89
30%
90-114
11%
115-139
4%
140-164
2%
165-189
1%
190-214
1%
215-239
1%
240+
1%
40-64 46%
65-89 30%
90-114 11%
<40 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Jul 29, 2026
<40
$22 KL.
10%
40-64
$20 KL.
46%
65-89
$100 KL.
30%
90-114
$71 KL.
11%
115-139
$120 KL.
4%
140-164
$0 KL.
2%
165-189
$100 KL.
1%
190-214
$0 KL.
1%
215-239
$0 KL.
1%
240+
$0 KL.
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 27 12:00 PM ET to July 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s tweet volume over the July 27-29 weekend remains highly uncertain, with markets showing 40-64 tweets as the narrow leader at 57% implied probability while sub-40 and several higher bins cluster tightly around 44-49%. Traders weigh his historically erratic pace—often spiking above 100 posts amid company news, regulatory developments, or viral moments—against the quieter holiday-adjacent period and recent averages from comparable three-day stretches. Key swing factors include any sudden X platform announcements or personal commentary that could push totals into the 90-114 or 190+ ranges favored by the next tier of odds. The spread underscores how quickly sentiment can shift with real-time activity rather than fixed patterns.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 27 12:00 PM ET to July 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Thị trường mở: Jul 25, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Khối lượng
$408Ngày kết thúc
Jul 29, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 25, 2026, 4:07 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 27 12:00 PM ET to July 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s tweet volume over the July 27-29 weekend remains highly uncertain, with markets showing 40-64 tweets as the narrow leader at 57% implied probability while sub-40 and several higher bins cluster tightly around 44-49%. Traders weigh his historically erratic pace—often spiking above 100 posts amid company news, regulatory developments, or viral moments—against the quieter holiday-adjacent period and recent averages from comparable three-day stretches. Key swing factors include any sudden X platform announcements or personal commentary that could push totals into the 90-114 or 190+ ranges favored by the next tier of odds. The spread underscores how quickly sentiment can shift with real-time activity rather than fixed patterns.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 27 12:00 PM ET to July 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Khối lượng
$408Ngày kết thúc
Jul 29, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 25, 2026, 4:07 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s tweet volume over the July 27-29 weekend remains highly uncertain, with markets showing 40-64 tweets as the narrow leader at 57% implied probability while sub-40 and several higher bins cluster tightly around 44-49%. Traders weigh his historically erratic pace—often spiking above 100 posts amid company news, regulatory developments, or viral moments—against the quieter holiday-adjacent period and recent averages from comparable three-day stretches. Key swing factors include any sudden X platform announcements or personal commentary that could push totals into the 90-114 or 190+ ranges favored by the next tier of odds. The spread underscores how quickly sentiment can shift with real-time activity rather than fixed patterns.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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