Recent House passage of a war powers resolution on June 3, directing termination of U.S. hostilities with Iran absent congressional authorization, reflects growing bipartisan frustration with the ongoing conflict. However, the measure now moves to the Senate, where Republican leadership and limited GOP support have slowed progress on a parallel version advanced last month. With the June 30 deadline approaching and the resolution facing procedural and partisan hurdles in the upper chamber, traders assign an 85.5% probability that Congress as a whole will not enact it in time. Scheduled floor time, potential holds, and institutional preferences for executive flexibility in foreign policy reinforce expectations that full passage remains unlikely before the cutoff.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$55,916 KL.
$55,916 KL.
Jun 30, 2026
$55,916 KL.
$55,916 KL.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent House passage of a war powers resolution on June 3, directing termination of U.S. hostilities with Iran absent congressional authorization, reflects growing bipartisan frustration with the ongoing conflict. However, the measure now moves to the Senate, where Republican leadership and limited GOP support have slowed progress on a parallel version advanced last month. With the June 30 deadline approaching and the resolution facing procedural and partisan hurdles in the upper chamber, traders assign an 85.5% probability that Congress as a whole will not enact it in time. Scheduled floor time, potential holds, and institutional preferences for executive flexibility in foreign policy reinforce expectations that full passage remains unlikely before the cutoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ET
Khối lượng
$55,916Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent House passage of a war powers resolution on June 3, directing termination of U.S. hostilities with Iran absent congressional authorization, reflects growing bipartisan frustration with the ongoing conflict. However, the measure now moves to the Senate, where Republican leadership and limited GOP support have slowed progress on a parallel version advanced last month. With the June 30 deadline approaching and the resolution facing procedural and partisan hurdles in the upper chamber, traders assign an 85.5% probability that Congress as a whole will not enact it in time. Scheduled floor time, potential holds, and institutional preferences for executive flexibility in foreign policy reinforce expectations that full passage remains unlikely before the cutoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$55,916Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent House passage of a war powers resolution on June 3, directing termination of U.S. hostilities with Iran absent congressional authorization, reflects growing bipartisan frustration with the ongoing conflict. However, the measure now moves to the Senate, where Republican leadership and limited GOP support have slowed progress on a parallel version advanced last month. With the June 30 deadline approaching and the resolution facing procedural and partisan hurdles in the upper chamber, traders assign an 85.5% probability that Congress as a whole will not enact it in time. Scheduled floor time, potential holds, and institutional preferences for executive flexibility in foreign policy reinforce expectations that full passage remains unlikely before the cutoff.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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