Recent U.S.-Iran diplomatic progress and expectations of a Strait of Hormuz reopening have driven sharp declines in WTI crude prices, with July futures trading near $81 per barrel as of mid-June 2026 after earlier spikes above $90 amid supply outages exceeding 11 million barrels per day. Global inventories continue drawing at record rates of roughly 6 million barrels daily in Q2, supporting near-term tightness, yet trader sentiment reflects growing odds of restored Middle East flows by late June that would ease backwardation and cap upside. Weekly EIA inventory releases, OPEC+ signals, and any final ceasefire details remain key near-term catalysts ahead of end-of-month settlement, while softer demand from elevated fuel costs adds downward pressure.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCrude Oil (CL) above ___ end of June?
Crude Oil (CL) above ___ end of June?
$140,609 KL.
Jun 30, 2026
$90
7%
$85
20%
$80
38%
$75
78%
$70
92%
$65
92%
$63
96%
$60
97%
$56
99%
$55
98%
$52
99%
$50
99%
$140,609 KL.
$90
$28,340 KL.
7%
$85
$8,084 KL.
20%
$80
$6,848 KL.
38%
$75
$17,417 KL.
78%
$70
$20,519 KL.
92%
$65
$1,045 KL.
92%
$63
$9,416 KL.
96%
$60
$24,375 KL.
97%
$56
$5,194 KL.
99%
$55
$3,751 KL.
98%
$52
$6,511 KL.
99%
$50
$9,124 KL.
99%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Recent U.S.-Iran diplomatic progress and expectations of a Strait of Hormuz reopening have driven sharp declines in WTI crude prices, with July futures trading near $81 per barrel as of mid-June 2026 after earlier spikes above $90 amid supply outages exceeding 11 million barrels per day. Global inventories continue drawing at record rates of roughly 6 million barrels daily in Q2, supporting near-term tightness, yet trader sentiment reflects growing odds of restored Middle East flows by late June that would ease backwardation and cap upside. Weekly EIA inventory releases, OPEC+ signals, and any final ceasefire details remain key near-term catalysts ahead of end-of-month settlement, while softer demand from elevated fuel costs adds downward pressure.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Thị trường mở: Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Khối lượng
$140,609Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Recent U.S.-Iran diplomatic progress and expectations of a Strait of Hormuz reopening have driven sharp declines in WTI crude prices, with July futures trading near $81 per barrel as of mid-June 2026 after earlier spikes above $90 amid supply outages exceeding 11 million barrels per day. Global inventories continue drawing at record rates of roughly 6 million barrels daily in Q2, supporting near-term tightness, yet trader sentiment reflects growing odds of restored Middle East flows by late June that would ease backwardation and cap upside. Weekly EIA inventory releases, OPEC+ signals, and any final ceasefire details remain key near-term catalysts ahead of end-of-month settlement, while softer demand from elevated fuel costs adds downward pressure.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Khối lượng
$140,609Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETRecent U.S.-Iran diplomatic progress and expectations of a Strait of Hormuz reopening have driven sharp declines in WTI crude prices, with July futures trading near $81 per barrel as of mid-June 2026 after earlier spikes above $90 amid supply outages exceeding 11 million barrels per day. Global inventories continue drawing at record rates of roughly 6 million barrels daily in Q2, supporting near-term tightness, yet trader sentiment reflects growing odds of restored Middle East flows by late June that would ease backwardation and cap upside. Weekly EIA inventory releases, OPEC+ signals, and any final ceasefire details remain key near-term catalysts ahead of end-of-month settlement, while softer demand from elevated fuel costs adds downward pressure.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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