China's official growth target of around 4.5-5% for 2026, combined with consensus forecasts from institutions such as the IMF at 4.6% and others clustering near 4.5-4.7%, underpins the strong market positioning of the 4.0-5.0% outcome. First-half data showed 4.7% expansion, with Q2 moderating to 4.3% amid softer domestic demand and property weakness, offset by resilient exports in high-tech and AI-related sectors. Policymakers have prioritized incremental fiscal measures and consumption support through the second half, while external demand and supply-side strength provide a buffer. Recent quarterly readings and policy signals have reinforced expectations that growth will remain within the targeted band despite uneven momentum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtChina Annual GDP Growth 2026
China Annual GDP Growth 2026
4.0–5.0% 90%
5.0–6.0% 6.3%
9.0%+ 1.4%
8.0–9.0% 1.3%
$897,506 KL.
$897,506 KL.
Jan 30, 2027
<1.0%
<1%
1.0–2.0%
<1%
2.0–3.0%
<1%
3.0–4.0%
1%
4.0–5.0%
90%
5.0–6.0%
6%
6.0-7.0%
<1%
7.0–8.0%
<1%
8.0–9.0%
1%
9.0%+
1%
4.0–5.0% 90%
5.0–6.0% 6.3%
9.0%+ 1.4%
8.0–9.0% 1.3%
$897,506 KL.
$897,506 KL.
Jan 30, 2027
<1.0%
$67,675 KL.
<1%
1.0–2.0%
$75,259 KL.
<1%
2.0–3.0%
$45,793 KL.
<1%
3.0–4.0%
$81,404 KL.
1%
4.0–5.0%
$222,267 KL.
90%
5.0–6.0%
$80,831 KL.
6%
6.0-7.0%
$87,941 KL.
<1%
7.0–8.0%
$65,353 KL.
<1%
8.0–9.0%
$54,234 KL.
1%
9.0%+
$116,748 KL.
1%
This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.China's official growth target of around 4.5-5% for 2026, combined with consensus forecasts from institutions such as the IMF at 4.6% and others clustering near 4.5-4.7%, underpins the strong market positioning of the 4.0-5.0% outcome. First-half data showed 4.7% expansion, with Q2 moderating to 4.3% amid softer domestic demand and property weakness, offset by resilient exports in high-tech and AI-related sectors. Policymakers have prioritized incremental fiscal measures and consumption support through the second half, while external demand and supply-side strength provide a buffer. Recent quarterly readings and policy signals have reinforced expectations that growth will remain within the targeted band despite uneven momentum.
This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Jan 21, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
Khối lượng
$897,506Ngày kết thúc
Jan 31, 2027Thị trường mở
Jan 21, 2026, 6:18 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.China's official growth target of around 4.5-5% for 2026, combined with consensus forecasts from institutions such as the IMF at 4.6% and others clustering near 4.5-4.7%, underpins the strong market positioning of the 4.0-5.0% outcome. First-half data showed 4.7% expansion, with Q2 moderating to 4.3% amid softer domestic demand and property weakness, offset by resilient exports in high-tech and AI-related sectors. Policymakers have prioritized incremental fiscal measures and consumption support through the second half, while external demand and supply-side strength provide a buffer. Recent quarterly readings and policy signals have reinforced expectations that growth will remain within the targeted band despite uneven momentum.
This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$897,506Ngày kết thúc
Jan 31, 2027Thị trường mở
Jan 21, 2026, 6:18 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...China's official growth target of around 4.5-5% for 2026, combined with consensus forecasts from institutions such as the IMF at 4.6% and others clustering near 4.5-4.7%, underpins the strong market positioning of the 4.0-5.0% outcome. First-half data showed 4.7% expansion, with Q2 moderating to 4.3% amid softer domestic demand and property weakness, offset by resilient exports in high-tech and AI-related sectors. Policymakers have prioritized incremental fiscal measures and consumption support through the second half, while external demand and supply-side strength provide a buffer. Recent quarterly readings and policy signals have reinforced expectations that growth will remain within the targeted band despite uneven momentum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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