**Carlos Alcaraz leads the 2026 US Open winner market at 56.5% implied probability as the defending champion returning from a four-month right wrist layoff, with Jannik Sinner’s pre-tournament knee withdrawal removing his primary rival and reshaping the bracket in his favor.** Alcaraz has dropped just one set through four rounds, including a commanding straight-sets fourth-round win over Tommy Paul that extended his major winning streak to 18 matches and signaled a return to elite movement and shot-making on hard courts. Alexander Zverev sits at 27.8% after claiming the top seed and French Open title earlier in the season; his favorable draw has cleared further with early exits elsewhere, though consecutive five-set wins in the opening rounds highlight fatigue risks. Ben Shelton (7.8%) and Frances Tiafoe (4.3%) have advanced with strong results, but the field remains competitive given Alcaraz’s limited recent match play and the inherent variability of Grand Slam tennis. Trader pricing reflects these confirmed developments and on-court form through the round of 16.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCarlos Alcaraz 56%
Alexander Zverev 27.8%
Ben Shelton 7.8%
Frances Tiafoe 4.3%
$22,391,408 KL.
$22,391,408 KL.
Carlos Alcaraz
56%
Alexander Zverev
28%
Ben Shelton
8%
Frances Tiafoe
4%
Karen Khachanov
2%
Alexander Blockx
2%
Alex Michelsen
1%
Casper Ruud
<1%
Learner Tien
<1%
Luciano Darderi
<1%
Carlos Alcaraz 56%
Alexander Zverev 27.8%
Ben Shelton 7.8%
Frances Tiafoe 4.3%
$22,391,408 KL.
$22,391,408 KL.
Carlos Alcaraz
56%
Alexander Zverev
28%
Ben Shelton
8%
Frances Tiafoe
4%
Karen Khachanov
2%
Alexander Blockx
2%
Alex Michelsen
1%
Casper Ruud
<1%
Learner Tien
<1%
Luciano Darderi
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET
Người giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Người giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...**Carlos Alcaraz leads the 2026 US Open winner market at 56.5% implied probability as the defending champion returning from a four-month right wrist layoff, with Jannik Sinner’s pre-tournament knee withdrawal removing his primary rival and reshaping the bracket in his favor.** Alcaraz has dropped just one set through four rounds, including a commanding straight-sets fourth-round win over Tommy Paul that extended his major winning streak to 18 matches and signaled a return to elite movement and shot-making on hard courts. Alexander Zverev sits at 27.8% after claiming the top seed and French Open title earlier in the season; his favorable draw has cleared further with early exits elsewhere, though consecutive five-set wins in the opening rounds highlight fatigue risks. Ben Shelton (7.8%) and Frances Tiafoe (4.3%) have advanced with strong results, but the field remains competitive given Alcaraz’s limited recent match play and the inherent variability of Grand Slam tennis. Trader pricing reflects these confirmed developments and on-court form through the round of 16.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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