Jannik Sinner holds the top implied probability at 28% as the ATP No. 1 with a substantial points lead and recent hard-court momentum, including a Monte-Carlo title. Carlos Alcaraz sits at 20.5% as defending champion but faces questions after a wrist issue and Cincinnati withdrawal, mirroring Sinner’s own right-knee absence from the same event. Alexander Zverev’s 15.8% reflects his strong 2026 clay results and consistent ranking position, while Novak Djokovic at 7.7% benefits from experience despite age. The bunched probabilities among the next tier—Ben Shelton, Taylor Fritz, and Daniil Medvedev—stem from solid recent form on hard courts, favorable draw positioning, and the top players’ health uncertainty, creating a competitive field where late roster changes or surface adjustments could shift sentiment ahead of the late-August start.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtJannik Sinner 28%
Carlos Alcaraz 21%
Alexander Zverev 15.8%
Novak Djokovic 7.7%
$7,387,615 KL.
$7,387,615 KL.
Jannik Sinner
28%
Carlos Alcaraz
21%
Alexander Zverev
16%
Novak Djokovic
8%
Ben Shelton
5%
Taylor Fritz
5%
Daniil Medvedev
2%
Felix Auger Aliassime
2%
Jakub Mensik
2%
Arthur Fils
2%
Joao Fonseca
1%
Frances Tiafoe
1%
Alexander Bublik
1%
Jiri Lehecka
1%
Lorenzo Musetti
1%
Andrey Rublev
1%
Grigor Dimitrov
1%
Flavio Cobolli
<1%
Jack Draper
<1%
Matteo Berrettini
<1%
Hubert Hurkacz
<1%
Holger Rune
<1%
Jannik Sinner 28%
Carlos Alcaraz 21%
Alexander Zverev 15.8%
Novak Djokovic 7.7%
$7,387,615 KL.
$7,387,615 KL.
Jannik Sinner
28%
Carlos Alcaraz
21%
Alexander Zverev
16%
Novak Djokovic
8%
Ben Shelton
5%
Taylor Fritz
5%
Daniil Medvedev
2%
Felix Auger Aliassime
2%
Jakub Mensik
2%
Arthur Fils
2%
Joao Fonseca
1%
Frances Tiafoe
1%
Alexander Bublik
1%
Jiri Lehecka
1%
Lorenzo Musetti
1%
Andrey Rublev
1%
Grigor Dimitrov
1%
Flavio Cobolli
<1%
Jack Draper
<1%
Matteo Berrettini
<1%
Hubert Hurkacz
<1%
Holger Rune
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jannik Sinner holds the top implied probability at 28% as the ATP No. 1 with a substantial points lead and recent hard-court momentum, including a Monte-Carlo title. Carlos Alcaraz sits at 20.5% as defending champion but faces questions after a wrist issue and Cincinnati withdrawal, mirroring Sinner’s own right-knee absence from the same event. Alexander Zverev’s 15.8% reflects his strong 2026 clay results and consistent ranking position, while Novak Djokovic at 7.7% benefits from experience despite age. The bunched probabilities among the next tier—Ben Shelton, Taylor Fritz, and Daniil Medvedev—stem from solid recent form on hard courts, favorable draw positioning, and the top players’ health uncertainty, creating a competitive field where late roster changes or surface adjustments could shift sentiment ahead of the late-August start.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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