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icon for Will Trump issue a veto in 2026?

Will Trump issue a veto in 2026?

icon for Will Trump issue a veto in 2026?

Will Trump issue a veto in 2026?

50% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ
50% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ
This market will resolve to Yes if President Trump issues a presidential veto, including a "pocket veto," by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred when the relevant bill is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto's effect is not realized until after the date referenced above. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known. The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Republican majorities in Congress have largely aligned major legislation with White House priorities throughout 2026, reducing the volume of bills likely to reach the president in divergent form. Trump has favored tools such as signature delays, reconciliation procedures, and leverage on measures like the SAVE America Act over formal vetoes, as illustrated by the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act becoming law without his signature in July. Ongoing disputes over voter identification rules, defense appropriations, and sanctions have produced no override attempts or pocket vetoes to date. With midterms approaching and legislative focus shifting to post-election sessions, trader consensus assigns a 61.5% probability that no veto will occur by year-end.

This market will resolve to Yes if President Trump issues a presidential veto, including a "pocket veto," by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred when the relevant bill is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto's effect is not realized until after the date referenced above. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known.

The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to Yes if President Trump issues a presidential veto, including a "pocket veto," by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred when the relevant bill is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto's effect is not realized until after the date referenced above. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known. The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$5,321
Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Jun 25, 2026, 11:49 AM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to Yes if President Trump issues a presidential veto, including a "pocket veto," by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred when the relevant bill is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto's effect is not realized until after the date referenced above. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known. The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Republican majorities in Congress have largely aligned major legislation with White House priorities throughout 2026, reducing the volume of bills likely to reach the president in divergent form. Trump has favored tools such as signature delays, reconciliation procedures, and leverage on measures like the SAVE America Act over formal vetoes, as illustrated by the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act becoming law without his signature in July. Ongoing disputes over voter identification rules, defense appropriations, and sanctions have produced no override attempts or pocket vetoes to date. With midterms approaching and legislative focus shifting to post-election sessions, trader consensus assigns a 61.5% probability that no veto will occur by year-end.

This market will resolve to Yes if President Trump issues a presidential veto, including a "pocket veto," by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred when the relevant bill is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto's effect is not realized until after the date referenced above. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known.

The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to Yes if President Trump issues a presidential veto, including a "pocket veto," by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred when the relevant bill is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto's effect is not realized until after the date referenced above. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known. The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$5,321
Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Jun 25, 2026, 11:49 AM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Will Trump issue a veto in 2026?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 39% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 39¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 39%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«Will Trump issue a veto in 2026?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Jun 25, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «Will Trump issue a veto in 2026?», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «Will Trump issue a veto in 2026?» — 39% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 39% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Правила вирішення для «Will Trump issue a veto in 2026?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.