The fragmented early field for the 2028 Democratic nomination features several prominent male contenders, including Gavin Newsom, Jon Ossoff, Pete Buttigieg, and Josh Shapiro, who draw support in prediction markets and polling for their executive or Senate experience. Kamala Harris and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez remain visible female options, yet traders assign them lower probabilities amid a broad field. The Democratic National Committee’s recent approval of a revised primary calendar—starting with South Carolina on January 22, 2028—shifts emphasis toward key voting blocs and could favor different profiles. Post-2024 reflections on the prior cycle continue to shape assessments of general-election viability without settled frontrunner momentum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено32% шанс
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 6, 2028
32% шанс
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 6, 2028
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The fragmented early field for the 2028 Democratic nomination features several prominent male contenders, including Gavin Newsom, Jon Ossoff, Pete Buttigieg, and Josh Shapiro, who draw support in prediction markets and polling for their executive or Senate experience. Kamala Harris and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez remain visible female options, yet traders assign them lower probabilities amid a broad field. The Democratic National Committee’s recent approval of a revised primary calendar—starting with South Carolina on January 22, 2028—shifts emphasis toward key voting blocs and could favor different profiles. Post-2024 reflections on the prior cycle continue to shape assessments of general-election viability without settled frontrunner momentum.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Ринок відкрито: Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
Обсяг
$3,916Дата завершення
Nov 7, 2028Ринок відкрито
Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The fragmented early field for the 2028 Democratic nomination features several prominent male contenders, including Gavin Newsom, Jon Ossoff, Pete Buttigieg, and Josh Shapiro, who draw support in prediction markets and polling for their executive or Senate experience. Kamala Harris and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez remain visible female options, yet traders assign them lower probabilities amid a broad field. The Democratic National Committee’s recent approval of a revised primary calendar—starting with South Carolina on January 22, 2028—shifts emphasis toward key voting blocs and could favor different profiles. Post-2024 reflections on the prior cycle continue to shape assessments of general-election viability without settled frontrunner momentum.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$3,916Дата завершення
Nov 7, 2028Ринок відкрито
Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The fragmented early field for the 2028 Democratic nomination features several prominent male contenders, including Gavin Newsom, Jon Ossoff, Pete Buttigieg, and Josh Shapiro, who draw support in prediction markets and polling for their executive or Senate experience. Kamala Harris and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez remain visible female options, yet traders assign them lower probabilities amid a broad field. The Democratic National Committee’s recent approval of a revised primary calendar—starting with South Carolina on January 22, 2028—shifts emphasis toward key voting blocs and could favor different profiles. Post-2024 reflections on the prior cycle continue to shape assessments of general-election viability without settled frontrunner momentum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання