Recent polling from sources including Pew, Yale, and Third Way shows Democratic candidates leading Republicans by double-digit margins among young men (ages 18-29) on the generic congressional ballot, with leads reaching 30 points among likely midterm voters. This positioning stems from declining Trump approval ratings among voters under 35, reaching net negative 44 points in August 2026 surveys, alongside reported disillusionment over economic conditions and policy delivery since 2024. Shifts toward Democrats appear most pronounced among men ages 23-29, though younger cohorts and turnout patterns remain variables. The wisdom of crowds in current pricing aligns with these trends while accounting for historical midterm volatility and undecided shares in early surveys.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоНОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 6, 2026
Democrats
72%
Republicans
45%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 6, 2026
Democrats
$0 Обс.
72%
Republicans
$0 Обс.
45%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of men in the age range of 18-24 in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event that CNN does not provide numbers for men in the 18-24 age range, this market will resolve based on the narrowest age range that begins with the youngest age for which data is available.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by cbsnews.com or, should cbsnews.com also not provide applicable polling, foxnews.com.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Recent polling from sources including Pew, Yale, and Third Way shows Democratic candidates leading Republicans by double-digit margins among young men (ages 18-29) on the generic congressional ballot, with leads reaching 30 points among likely midterm voters. This positioning stems from declining Trump approval ratings among voters under 35, reaching net negative 44 points in August 2026 surveys, alongside reported disillusionment over economic conditions and policy delivery since 2024. Shifts toward Democrats appear most pronounced among men ages 23-29, though younger cohorts and turnout patterns remain variables. The wisdom of crowds in current pricing aligns with these trends while accounting for historical midterm volatility and undecided shares in early surveys.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of men in the age range of 18-24 in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event that CNN does not provide numbers for men in the 18-24 age range, this market will resolve based on the narrowest age range that begins with the youngest age for which data is available.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by cbsnews.com or, should cbsnews.com also not provide applicable polling, foxnews.com.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of men in the age range of 18-24 in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event that CNN does not provide numbers for men in the 18-24 age range, this market will resolve based on the narrowest age range that begins with the youngest age for which data is available.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by cbsnews.com or, should cbsnews.com also not provide applicable polling, foxnews.com.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Ринок відкрито: Sep 2, 2026, 2:10 PM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Nov 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 2:10 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of men in the age range of 18-24 in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event that CNN does not provide numbers for men in the 18-24 age range, this market will resolve based on the narrowest age range that begins with the youngest age for which data is available.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by cbsnews.com or, should cbsnews.com also not provide applicable polling, foxnews.com.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Recent polling from sources including Pew, Yale, and Third Way shows Democratic candidates leading Republicans by double-digit margins among young men (ages 18-29) on the generic congressional ballot, with leads reaching 30 points among likely midterm voters. This positioning stems from declining Trump approval ratings among voters under 35, reaching net negative 44 points in August 2026 surveys, alongside reported disillusionment over economic conditions and policy delivery since 2024. Shifts toward Democrats appear most pronounced among men ages 23-29, though younger cohorts and turnout patterns remain variables. The wisdom of crowds in current pricing aligns with these trends while accounting for historical midterm volatility and undecided shares in early surveys.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of men in the age range of 18-24 in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event that CNN does not provide numbers for men in the 18-24 age range, this market will resolve based on the narrowest age range that begins with the youngest age for which data is available.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by cbsnews.com or, should cbsnews.com also not provide applicable polling, foxnews.com.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of men in the age range of 18-24 in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event that CNN does not provide numbers for men in the 18-24 age range, this market will resolve based on the narrowest age range that begins with the youngest age for which data is available.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by cbsnews.com or, should cbsnews.com also not provide applicable polling, foxnews.com.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Nov 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 2:10 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from sources including Pew, Yale, and Third Way shows Democratic candidates leading Republicans by double-digit margins among young men (ages 18-29) on the generic congressional ballot, with leads reaching 30 points among likely midterm voters. This positioning stems from declining Trump approval ratings among voters under 35, reaching net negative 44 points in August 2026 surveys, alongside reported disillusionment over economic conditions and policy delivery since 2024. Shifts toward Democrats appear most pronounced among men ages 23-29, though younger cohorts and turnout patterns remain variables. The wisdom of crowds in current pricing aligns with these trends while accounting for historical midterm volatility and undecided shares in early surveys.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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