Spider-Man: Brand New Day's record $360 million domestic opening weekend and rapid climb past $553 million in its first ten days have driven trader consensus toward the 900 million-plus bucket at 63.1 percent implied probability. Strong second-weekend holds, including a $143 million frame and multiple daily box-office records, reflect robust audience demand and favorable word-of-mouth for the Tom Holland-Zendaya MCU sequel. With legs projected around 1.5x or better and no major competition through late August, the film is positioned to add substantial grosses before the August 31 cutoff. Upcoming weekend updates and any late-August hold patterns remain the key swing factors for the 800–900 million range still at 36.5 percent.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31?
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31?
900m+ 63.1%
800 - 900m 37%
700 - 800m 1.3%
600 - 700m <1%
$695,240 Обс.
$695,240 Обс.
Aug 31, 2026
<400m
<1%
400 - 500m
<1%
500 - 600m
<1%
600 - 700m
<1%
700 - 800m
1%
800 - 900m
37%
900m+
63%
900m+ 63.1%
800 - 900m 37%
700 - 800m 1.3%
600 - 700m <1%
$695,240 Обс.
$695,240 Обс.
Aug 31, 2026
<400m
$6,210 Обс.
<1%
400 - 500m
$21,005 Обс.
<1%
500 - 600m
$26,654 Обс.
<1%
600 - 700m
$41,571 Обс.
<1%
700 - 800m
$53,484 Обс.
1%
800 - 900m
$99,445 Обс.
37%
900m+
$446,871 Обс.
63%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day's record $360 million domestic opening weekend and rapid climb past $553 million in its first ten days have driven trader consensus toward the 900 million-plus bucket at 63.1 percent implied probability. Strong second-weekend holds, including a $143 million frame and multiple daily box-office records, reflect robust audience demand and favorable word-of-mouth for the Tom Holland-Zendaya MCU sequel. With legs projected around 1.5x or better and no major competition through late August, the film is positioned to add substantial grosses before the August 31 cutoff. Upcoming weekend updates and any late-August hold patterns remain the key swing factors for the 800–900 million range still at 36.5 percent.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
Обсяг
$695,240Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day's record $360 million domestic opening weekend and rapid climb past $553 million in its first ten days have driven trader consensus toward the 900 million-plus bucket at 63.1 percent implied probability. Strong second-weekend holds, including a $143 million frame and multiple daily box-office records, reflect robust audience demand and favorable word-of-mouth for the Tom Holland-Zendaya MCU sequel. With legs projected around 1.5x or better and no major competition through late August, the film is positioned to add substantial grosses before the August 31 cutoff. Upcoming weekend updates and any late-August hold patterns remain the key swing factors for the 800–900 million range still at 36.5 percent.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Обсяг
$695,240Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Spider-Man: Brand New Day's record $360 million domestic opening weekend and rapid climb past $553 million in its first ten days have driven trader consensus toward the 900 million-plus bucket at 63.1 percent implied probability. Strong second-weekend holds, including a $143 million frame and multiple daily box-office records, reflect robust audience demand and favorable word-of-mouth for the Tom Holland-Zendaya MCU sequel. With legs projected around 1.5x or better and no major competition through late August, the film is positioned to add substantial grosses before the August 31 cutoff. Upcoming weekend updates and any late-August hold patterns remain the key swing factors for the 800–900 million range still at 36.5 percent.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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