OpenAI's confidential S-1 filing in June 2026, following its $852 billion March private valuation from a record $122 billion round, anchors trader expectations for an IPO market cap near or above $1 trillion. Monthly revenue run-rate near $2 billion—with enterprise comprising over 40%—supports growth narratives, though the firm remains unprofitable and faces model leadership questions versus rivals. Sentiment hinges on whether management delays listing into 2027 to secure a higher price, broader tech multiples, Treasury yields, and upcoming catalysts like potential new model releases or regulatory updates. Market-implied odds reflect these execution and macro risks rather than certainty of crossing specific thresholds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$1,519,272 Обс.
$1,519,272 Обс.
Dec 31, 2027
$800 млрд
86%
$1 трлн
76%
$1,2 трлн
61%
$1,4 трлн
45%
$1,6 трлн
42%
$1,519,272 Обс.
$1,519,272 Обс.
Dec 31, 2027
$800 млрд
$107,327 Обс.
86%
$1 трлн
$1,046,738 Обс.
76%
$1,2 трлн
$248,684 Обс.
61%
$1,4 трлн
$67,569 Обс.
45%
$1,6 трлн
$48,953 Обс.
42%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI's confidential S-1 filing in June 2026, following its $852 billion March private valuation from a record $122 billion round, anchors trader expectations for an IPO market cap near or above $1 trillion. Monthly revenue run-rate near $2 billion—with enterprise comprising over 40%—supports growth narratives, though the firm remains unprofitable and faces model leadership questions versus rivals. Sentiment hinges on whether management delays listing into 2027 to secure a higher price, broader tech multiples, Treasury yields, and upcoming catalysts like potential new model releases or regulatory updates. Market-implied odds reflect these execution and macro risks rather than certainty of crossing specific thresholds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,519,272Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI's confidential S-1 filing in June 2026, following its $852 billion March private valuation from a record $122 billion round, anchors trader expectations for an IPO market cap near or above $1 trillion. Monthly revenue run-rate near $2 billion—with enterprise comprising over 40%—supports growth narratives, though the firm remains unprofitable and faces model leadership questions versus rivals. Sentiment hinges on whether management delays listing into 2027 to secure a higher price, broader tech multiples, Treasury yields, and upcoming catalysts like potential new model releases or regulatory updates. Market-implied odds reflect these execution and macro risks rather than certainty of crossing specific thresholds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Обсяг
$1,519,272Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI's confidential S-1 filing in June 2026, following its $852 billion March private valuation from a record $122 billion round, anchors trader expectations for an IPO market cap near or above $1 trillion. Monthly revenue run-rate near $2 billion—with enterprise comprising over 40%—supports growth narratives, though the firm remains unprofitable and faces model leadership questions versus rivals. Sentiment hinges on whether management delays listing into 2027 to secure a higher price, broader tech multiples, Treasury yields, and upcoming catalysts like potential new model releases or regulatory updates. Market-implied odds reflect these execution and macro risks rather than certainty of crossing specific thresholds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання