Narendra Modi’s position as prime minister remains secure through the end of 2026, with his National Democratic Alliance coalition holding power following the 2024 general election and subsequent state-level victories in Delhi and Bihar. The next national vote is not due until 2029, and no constitutional or procedural deadlines require a change in leadership before then. Recent analyses highlight continued public support and the absence of major coalition fractures or internal party challenges that would force an early exit. Trader consensus at 92 percent for “No” aligns with these structural factors, though an unforeseen health event or sudden political crisis could still alter the timeline before year-end.