Persistent Pacific High pressure has maintained above-normal warmth across eastern Japan, with Japan Meteorological Agency guidance forecasting a 24°C minimum for Tokyo on August 10 under mostly cloudy skies and light winds that limit nocturnal cooling. Historical August normals near 23.8–24°C, combined with urban heat retention and elevated humidity, anchor trader consensus around this threshold at 54% implied probability. Recent seasonal outlooks from JMA confirming warmer-than-average conditions through summer reinforce the 24–25°C cluster (nearly 80% combined), while any late-model shifts in cloud cover or wind could nudge the actual low slightly lower or higher before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 10?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 10?
24°C 54%
25°C 25%
23°C 10%
26°C 3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 10, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
10%
24°C
54%
25°C
25%
26°C
3%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 54%
25°C 25%
23°C 10%
26°C 3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 10, 2026
18°C or below
$310 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$300 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$277 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$317 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$196 Обс.
1%
23°C
$368 Обс.
10%
24°C
$2,146 Обс.
54%
25°C
$746 Обс.
25%
26°C
$347 Обс.
3%
27°C
$313 Обс.
1%
28°C or higher
$272 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent Pacific High pressure has maintained above-normal warmth across eastern Japan, with Japan Meteorological Agency guidance forecasting a 24°C minimum for Tokyo on August 10 under mostly cloudy skies and light winds that limit nocturnal cooling. Historical August normals near 23.8–24°C, combined with urban heat retention and elevated humidity, anchor trader consensus around this threshold at 54% implied probability. Recent seasonal outlooks from JMA confirming warmer-than-average conditions through summer reinforce the 24–25°C cluster (nearly 80% combined), while any late-model shifts in cloud cover or wind could nudge the actual low slightly lower or higher before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$5,590Дата завершення
Aug 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent Pacific High pressure has maintained above-normal warmth across eastern Japan, with Japan Meteorological Agency guidance forecasting a 24°C minimum for Tokyo on August 10 under mostly cloudy skies and light winds that limit nocturnal cooling. Historical August normals near 23.8–24°C, combined with urban heat retention and elevated humidity, anchor trader consensus around this threshold at 54% implied probability. Recent seasonal outlooks from JMA confirming warmer-than-average conditions through summer reinforce the 24–25°C cluster (nearly 80% combined), while any late-model shifts in cloud cover or wind could nudge the actual low slightly lower or higher before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$5,590Дата завершення
Aug 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent Pacific High pressure has maintained above-normal warmth across eastern Japan, with Japan Meteorological Agency guidance forecasting a 24°C minimum for Tokyo on August 10 under mostly cloudy skies and light winds that limit nocturnal cooling. Historical August normals near 23.8–24°C, combined with urban heat retention and elevated humidity, anchor trader consensus around this threshold at 54% implied probability. Recent seasonal outlooks from JMA confirming warmer-than-average conditions through summer reinforce the 24–25°C cluster (nearly 80% combined), while any late-model shifts in cloud cover or wind could nudge the actual low slightly lower or higher before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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