**Trader consensus strongly favors a 25°C low for Tel Aviv on September 5, 2026, at 91.5% implied probability.** Multiple forecast models, including GFS-based outputs and regional guidance, project overnight minimums stabilizing near 25°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly to northwesterly winds, and typical Mediterranean late-summer conditions with sea-breeze moderation. Observed trends show early-morning readings hovering around 24–26°C, consistent with historical September baselines of roughly 24–26°C lows. This positioning reflects aggregated model consensus and real-time observational data rather than any single run. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted increase in radiative cooling from clearer skies or a shift to calmer northerly flow dropping readings to 24°C or below, though current model agreement and stable high-pressure patterns limit that likelihood before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 5?
Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 5?
25°C 96%
21°C 4.0%
24°C 3%
20°C or below 1.0%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 5, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
4%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
92%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 96%
21°C 4.0%
24°C 3%
20°C or below 1.0%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 5, 2026
20°C or below
$67 Обс.
1%
21°C
$103 Обс.
4%
22°C
$170 Обс.
1%
23°C
$164 Обс.
1%
24°C
$102 Обс.
3%
25°C
$362 Обс.
92%
26°C
$20 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$30 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$20 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$20 Обс.
<1%
30°C or higher
$20 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 25°C low for Tel Aviv on September 5, 2026, at 91.5% implied probability.** Multiple forecast models, including GFS-based outputs and regional guidance, project overnight minimums stabilizing near 25°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly to northwesterly winds, and typical Mediterranean late-summer conditions with sea-breeze moderation. Observed trends show early-morning readings hovering around 24–26°C, consistent with historical September baselines of roughly 24–26°C lows. This positioning reflects aggregated model consensus and real-time observational data rather than any single run. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted increase in radiative cooling from clearer skies or a shift to calmer northerly flow dropping readings to 24°C or below, though current model agreement and stable high-pressure patterns limit that likelihood before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,078Дата завершення
Sep 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 25°C low for Tel Aviv on September 5, 2026, at 91.5% implied probability.** Multiple forecast models, including GFS-based outputs and regional guidance, project overnight minimums stabilizing near 25°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly to northwesterly winds, and typical Mediterranean late-summer conditions with sea-breeze moderation. Observed trends show early-morning readings hovering around 24–26°C, consistent with historical September baselines of roughly 24–26°C lows. This positioning reflects aggregated model consensus and real-time observational data rather than any single run. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted increase in radiative cooling from clearer skies or a shift to calmer northerly flow dropping readings to 24°C or below, though current model agreement and stable high-pressure patterns limit that likelihood before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,078Дата завершення
Sep 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors a 25°C low for Tel Aviv on September 5, 2026, at 91.5% implied probability.** Multiple forecast models, including GFS-based outputs and regional guidance, project overnight minimums stabilizing near 25°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly to northwesterly winds, and typical Mediterranean late-summer conditions with sea-breeze moderation. Observed trends show early-morning readings hovering around 24–26°C, consistent with historical September baselines of roughly 24–26°C lows. This positioning reflects aggregated model consensus and real-time observational data rather than any single run. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted increase in radiative cooling from clearer skies or a shift to calmer northerly flow dropping readings to 24°C or below, though current model agreement and stable high-pressure patterns limit that likelihood before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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