**Trader consensus strongly favors a 20°C low in Seoul/Incheon on September 5, 2026, at 99.3% implied probability.** Multiple official and model forecasts from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration, Met Office, and international numerical weather prediction outputs converge on an overnight minimum of 19–20°C under clear to mostly clear skies, northeasterly winds of 7–10 knots, and dew points around 15–18°C. This aligns with typical early-September climatology for the region, where radiative cooling under high pressure produces lows in that narrow range. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with no significant frontal activity or moisture return expected overnight. The only realistic challengers would be an unanticipated increase in low-level cloud cover or a sharper wind shift that reduces cooling, though current observations and short-range guidance indicate low likelihood of deviation outside the 19–21°C envelope.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 5?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 5?
20°C 99.4%
19°C <1%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
$11,275 Обс.
$11,275 Обс.
Sep 5, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
99%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
20°C 99.4%
19°C <1%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
$11,275 Обс.
$11,275 Обс.
Sep 5, 2026
13°C or below
$369 Обс.
<1%
14°C
$614 Обс.
<1%
15°C
$195 Обс.
<1%
16°C
$447 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$1,138 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$951 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$1,322 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$2,311 Обс.
99%
21°C
$2,964 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$788 Обс.
<1%
23°C or higher
$175 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 20°C low in Seoul/Incheon on September 5, 2026, at 99.3% implied probability.** Multiple official and model forecasts from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration, Met Office, and international numerical weather prediction outputs converge on an overnight minimum of 19–20°C under clear to mostly clear skies, northeasterly winds of 7–10 knots, and dew points around 15–18°C. This aligns with typical early-September climatology for the region, where radiative cooling under high pressure produces lows in that narrow range. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with no significant frontal activity or moisture return expected overnight. The only realistic challengers would be an unanticipated increase in low-level cloud cover or a sharper wind shift that reduces cooling, though current observations and short-range guidance indicate low likelihood of deviation outside the 19–21°C envelope.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$11,275Дата завершення
Sep 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 20°C low in Seoul/Incheon on September 5, 2026, at 99.3% implied probability.** Multiple official and model forecasts from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration, Met Office, and international numerical weather prediction outputs converge on an overnight minimum of 19–20°C under clear to mostly clear skies, northeasterly winds of 7–10 knots, and dew points around 15–18°C. This aligns with typical early-September climatology for the region, where radiative cooling under high pressure produces lows in that narrow range. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with no significant frontal activity or moisture return expected overnight. The only realistic challengers would be an unanticipated increase in low-level cloud cover or a sharper wind shift that reduces cooling, though current observations and short-range guidance indicate low likelihood of deviation outside the 19–21°C envelope.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$11,275Дата завершення
Sep 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors a 20°C low in Seoul/Incheon on September 5, 2026, at 99.3% implied probability.** Multiple official and model forecasts from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration, Met Office, and international numerical weather prediction outputs converge on an overnight minimum of 19–20°C under clear to mostly clear skies, northeasterly winds of 7–10 knots, and dew points around 15–18°C. This aligns with typical early-September climatology for the region, where radiative cooling under high pressure produces lows in that narrow range. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with no significant frontal activity or moisture return expected overnight. The only realistic challengers would be an unanticipated increase in low-level cloud cover or a sharper wind shift that reduces cooling, though current observations and short-range guidance indicate low likelihood of deviation outside the 19–21°C envelope.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання