Recent forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF models indicate overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies will likely produce a Paris minimum near 18–19°C on August 10, aligning with the market’s tightest odds on those two outcomes. A lingering warm air mass following early-August heatwave conditions has elevated baseline temperatures, limiting how far nocturnal cooling can drop despite light winds and moderate humidity. Ensemble spread remains modest at this short lead time, with only small probability assigned to 17°C or cooler if stronger boundary-layer mixing develops, or 20°C+ if cloud cover persists longer. Updated model runs tonight will refine dew-point and wind forecasts ahead of the 00:00–06:00 UTC minimum window that determines resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Paris on August 10?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 10?
19°C 42%
18°C 34%
17°C 21%
20°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 10, 2026
16°C or below
2%
17°C
21%
18°C
34%
19°C
42%
20°C
8%
21°C
3%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
19°C 42%
18°C 34%
17°C 21%
20°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 10, 2026
16°C or below
$122 Обс.
2%
17°C
$213 Обс.
21%
18°C
$272 Обс.
34%
19°C
$621 Обс.
42%
20°C
$116 Обс.
8%
21°C
$226 Обс.
3%
22°C
$221 Обс.
1%
23°C
$434 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$246 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$83 Обс.
<1%
26°C or higher
$90 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF models indicate overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies will likely produce a Paris minimum near 18–19°C on August 10, aligning with the market’s tightest odds on those two outcomes. A lingering warm air mass following early-August heatwave conditions has elevated baseline temperatures, limiting how far nocturnal cooling can drop despite light winds and moderate humidity. Ensemble spread remains modest at this short lead time, with only small probability assigned to 17°C or cooler if stronger boundary-layer mixing develops, or 20°C+ if cloud cover persists longer. Updated model runs tonight will refine dew-point and wind forecasts ahead of the 00:00–06:00 UTC minimum window that determines resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,611Дата завершення
Aug 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF models indicate overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies will likely produce a Paris minimum near 18–19°C on August 10, aligning with the market’s tightest odds on those two outcomes. A lingering warm air mass following early-August heatwave conditions has elevated baseline temperatures, limiting how far nocturnal cooling can drop despite light winds and moderate humidity. Ensemble spread remains modest at this short lead time, with only small probability assigned to 17°C or cooler if stronger boundary-layer mixing develops, or 20°C+ if cloud cover persists longer. Updated model runs tonight will refine dew-point and wind forecasts ahead of the 00:00–06:00 UTC minimum window that determines resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,611Дата завершення
Aug 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF models indicate overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies will likely produce a Paris minimum near 18–19°C on August 10, aligning with the market’s tightest odds on those two outcomes. A lingering warm air mass following early-August heatwave conditions has elevated baseline temperatures, limiting how far nocturnal cooling can drop despite light winds and moderate humidity. Ensemble spread remains modest at this short lead time, with only small probability assigned to 17°C or cooler if stronger boundary-layer mixing develops, or 20°C+ if cloud cover persists longer. Updated model runs tonight will refine dew-point and wind forecasts ahead of the 00:00–06:00 UTC minimum window that determines resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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