Persistent warm, humid air mass across the Northeast, driven by southerly flow and above-average August conditions per National Weather Service outlooks, keeps overnight radiative cooling limited and supports market-implied odds clustering around 74-77°F lows. Recent model consensus from NOAA and NWS shows Central Park minima near 74-75°F, with limited diurnal range due to high humidity and potential partial cloud cover. Traders weigh variables such as wind shifts, exact timing of any weak fronts, or clearer skies that could allow slightly lower readings near 72°F versus warmer outcomes above 78°F. Short-term ensemble spreads introduce genuine uncertainty in these thresholds, with resolution hinging on official NWS observations tomorrow.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in NYC on August 10?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 10?
76-77°F 28%
74-75°F 23%
78-79°F 16%
72-73°F 15%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 10, 2026
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
3%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
15%
74-75°F
29%
76-77°F
28%
78-79°F
16%
80-81°F
2%
82°F or higher
3%
76-77°F 28%
74-75°F 23%
78-79°F 16%
72-73°F 15%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 10, 2026
63°F or below
$31 Обс.
<1%
64-65°F
$31 Обс.
<1%
66-67°F
$10 Обс.
1%
68-69°F
$99 Обс.
3%
70-71°F
$133 Обс.
7%
72-73°F
$85 Обс.
15%
74-75°F
$142 Обс.
29%
76-77°F
$40 Обс.
28%
78-79°F
$98 Обс.
16%
80-81°F
$50 Обс.
2%
82°F or higher
$409 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent warm, humid air mass across the Northeast, driven by southerly flow and above-average August conditions per National Weather Service outlooks, keeps overnight radiative cooling limited and supports market-implied odds clustering around 74-77°F lows. Recent model consensus from NOAA and NWS shows Central Park minima near 74-75°F, with limited diurnal range due to high humidity and potential partial cloud cover. Traders weigh variables such as wind shifts, exact timing of any weak fronts, or clearer skies that could allow slightly lower readings near 72°F versus warmer outcomes above 78°F. Short-term ensemble spreads introduce genuine uncertainty in these thresholds, with resolution hinging on official NWS observations tomorrow.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 8, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,128Дата завершення
Aug 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 8, 2026, 9:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent warm, humid air mass across the Northeast, driven by southerly flow and above-average August conditions per National Weather Service outlooks, keeps overnight radiative cooling limited and supports market-implied odds clustering around 74-77°F lows. Recent model consensus from NOAA and NWS shows Central Park minima near 74-75°F, with limited diurnal range due to high humidity and potential partial cloud cover. Traders weigh variables such as wind shifts, exact timing of any weak fronts, or clearer skies that could allow slightly lower readings near 72°F versus warmer outcomes above 78°F. Short-term ensemble spreads introduce genuine uncertainty in these thresholds, with resolution hinging on official NWS observations tomorrow.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,128Дата завершення
Aug 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 8, 2026, 9:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent warm, humid air mass across the Northeast, driven by southerly flow and above-average August conditions per National Weather Service outlooks, keeps overnight radiative cooling limited and supports market-implied odds clustering around 74-77°F lows. Recent model consensus from NOAA and NWS shows Central Park minima near 74-75°F, with limited diurnal range due to high humidity and potential partial cloud cover. Traders weigh variables such as wind shifts, exact timing of any weak fronts, or clearer skies that could allow slightly lower readings near 72°F versus warmer outcomes above 78°F. Short-term ensemble spreads introduce genuine uncertainty in these thresholds, with resolution hinging on official NWS observations tomorrow.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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