Current forecast models from sources like GFS, ICON, and DWD-MOS indicate clear skies and light winds over Munich overnight into September 6, supporting radiational cooling after recent showers, with dew points near 9–10°C and minimum temperatures most likely between 9–11°C. This consensus drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 8–11°C, as traders weigh subtle differences in model timing for peak cooling, urban heat retention, and exact wind speeds that could shift the low by 1–2°C. Historical September lows average 11.4°C but have dipped to 8°C in recent years under similar clear, calm conditions, while stronger model agreement on high pressure limits upside risk above 12°C. Updated runs ahead of resolution will clarify any late adjustments.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Munich on September 6?
Lowest temperature in Munich on September 6?
13°C 42%
8°C 29%
10°C 27%
9°C 26%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 6, 2026
5°C or below
8%
6°C
13%
7°C
14%
8°C
29%
9°C
26%
10°C
27%
11°C
25%
12°C
16%
13°C
42%
14°C
15%
15°C or higher
15%
13°C 42%
8°C 29%
10°C 27%
9°C 26%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 6, 2026
5°C or below
$0 Обс.
8%
6°C
$259 Обс.
13%
7°C
$201 Обс.
14%
8°C
$0 Обс.
29%
9°C
$0 Обс.
26%
10°C
$0 Обс.
27%
11°C
$0 Обс.
25%
12°C
$10 Обс.
16%
13°C
$0 Обс.
42%
14°C
$0 Обс.
15%
15°C or higher
$0 Обс.
15%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like GFS, ICON, and DWD-MOS indicate clear skies and light winds over Munich overnight into September 6, supporting radiational cooling after recent showers, with dew points near 9–10°C and minimum temperatures most likely between 9–11°C. This consensus drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 8–11°C, as traders weigh subtle differences in model timing for peak cooling, urban heat retention, and exact wind speeds that could shift the low by 1–2°C. Historical September lows average 11.4°C but have dipped to 8°C in recent years under similar clear, calm conditions, while stronger model agreement on high pressure limits upside risk above 12°C. Updated runs ahead of resolution will clarify any late adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$470Дата завершення
Sep 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like GFS, ICON, and DWD-MOS indicate clear skies and light winds over Munich overnight into September 6, supporting radiational cooling after recent showers, with dew points near 9–10°C and minimum temperatures most likely between 9–11°C. This consensus drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 8–11°C, as traders weigh subtle differences in model timing for peak cooling, urban heat retention, and exact wind speeds that could shift the low by 1–2°C. Historical September lows average 11.4°C but have dipped to 8°C in recent years under similar clear, calm conditions, while stronger model agreement on high pressure limits upside risk above 12°C. Updated runs ahead of resolution will clarify any late adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$470Дата завершення
Sep 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like GFS, ICON, and DWD-MOS indicate clear skies and light winds over Munich overnight into September 6, supporting radiational cooling after recent showers, with dew points near 9–10°C and minimum temperatures most likely between 9–11°C. This consensus drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 8–11°C, as traders weigh subtle differences in model timing for peak cooling, urban heat retention, and exact wind speeds that could shift the low by 1–2°C. Historical September lows average 11.4°C but have dipped to 8°C in recent years under similar clear, calm conditions, while stronger model agreement on high pressure limits upside risk above 12°C. Updated runs ahead of resolution will clarify any late adjustments.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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