Current ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and Met Office models indicate overnight lows near 18–19°C for London on July 30, driven by the continuation of above-average minimum temperatures observed throughout summer 2026, with UK nighttime averages running 1.5°C above the long-term norm. Persistent high pressure has limited cloud cover and reduced radiative cooling, while southerly flow has advected milder maritime air, keeping urban heat-island effects pronounced in central London. These conditions differentiate the closely matched 19°C (44.5%) and 18°C (39%) outcomes, as even modest increases in low-level moisture or slight shifts in wind direction could drop readings by 1°C. Updated short-range model runs and official Met Office briefings expected over the next 48 hours will refine the final distribution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in London on July 30?
Lowest temperature in London on July 30?
19°C 31%
14°C 27%
22°C 26%
18°C 23%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 30, 2026
13°C or below
1%
14°C
27%
15°C
8%
16°C
15%
17°C
18%
18°C
23%
19°C
31%
20°C
14%
21°C
12%
22°C
26%
23°C or higher
9%
19°C 31%
14°C 27%
22°C 26%
18°C 23%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 30, 2026
13°C or below
$22 Обс.
1%
14°C
$30 Обс.
27%
15°C
$20 Обс.
8%
16°C
$0 Обс.
15%
17°C
$0 Обс.
18%
18°C
$0 Обс.
23%
19°C
$0 Обс.
31%
20°C
$0 Обс.
14%
21°C
$0 Обс.
12%
22°C
$38 Обс.
26%
23°C or higher
$27 Обс.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and Met Office models indicate overnight lows near 18–19°C for London on July 30, driven by the continuation of above-average minimum temperatures observed throughout summer 2026, with UK nighttime averages running 1.5°C above the long-term norm. Persistent high pressure has limited cloud cover and reduced radiative cooling, while southerly flow has advected milder maritime air, keeping urban heat-island effects pronounced in central London. These conditions differentiate the closely matched 19°C (44.5%) and 18°C (39%) outcomes, as even modest increases in low-level moisture or slight shifts in wind direction could drop readings by 1°C. Updated short-range model runs and official Met Office briefings expected over the next 48 hours will refine the final distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$136Дата завершення
Jul 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and Met Office models indicate overnight lows near 18–19°C for London on July 30, driven by the continuation of above-average minimum temperatures observed throughout summer 2026, with UK nighttime averages running 1.5°C above the long-term norm. Persistent high pressure has limited cloud cover and reduced radiative cooling, while southerly flow has advected milder maritime air, keeping urban heat-island effects pronounced in central London. These conditions differentiate the closely matched 19°C (44.5%) and 18°C (39%) outcomes, as even modest increases in low-level moisture or slight shifts in wind direction could drop readings by 1°C. Updated short-range model runs and official Met Office briefings expected over the next 48 hours will refine the final distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$136Дата завершення
Jul 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and Met Office models indicate overnight lows near 18–19°C for London on July 30, driven by the continuation of above-average minimum temperatures observed throughout summer 2026, with UK nighttime averages running 1.5°C above the long-term norm. Persistent high pressure has limited cloud cover and reduced radiative cooling, while southerly flow has advected milder maritime air, keeping urban heat-island effects pronounced in central London. These conditions differentiate the closely matched 19°C (44.5%) and 18°C (39%) outcomes, as even modest increases in low-level moisture or slight shifts in wind direction could drop readings by 1°C. Updated short-range model runs and official Met Office briefings expected over the next 48 hours will refine the final distribution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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