**Forecast models and observational data from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and regional monitoring indicate the overnight low in Jeddah on September 5 will likely settle near 30°C.** Persistent high humidity from the adjacent Red Sea, combined with light northwesterly winds and clear to partly cloudy skies, limits radiative cooling after sunset, keeping temperatures elevated compared to historical September averages of 27–29°C. Recent model runs show minimal day-to-day variability, with consensus favoring a minimum at or just above 30°C while assigning lower probability to cooler outcomes below 28°C that would require stronger onshore flow or increased cloud cover. Traders appear to weigh the stable atmospheric pattern and latest hourly observations heavily in pricing the 30°C outcome at 87% implied probability.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Jeddah on September 5?
Lowest temperature in Jeddah on September 5?
30°C 97%
27°C 86%
26°C 85%
25°C or below 79%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 5, 2026
25°C or below
79%
26°C
85%
27°C
86%
28°C
3%
29°C
19%
30°C
87%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 97%
27°C 86%
26°C 85%
25°C or below 79%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 5, 2026
25°C or below
$12 Обс.
79%
26°C
$12 Обс.
85%
27°C
$32 Обс.
86%
28°C
$85 Обс.
3%
29°C
$7 Обс.
19%
30°C
$312 Обс.
87%
31°C
$276 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$75 Обс.
<1%
33°C
$35 Обс.
<1%
34°C
$35 Обс.
<1%
35°C or higher
$35 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and observational data from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and regional monitoring indicate the overnight low in Jeddah on September 5 will likely settle near 30°C.** Persistent high humidity from the adjacent Red Sea, combined with light northwesterly winds and clear to partly cloudy skies, limits radiative cooling after sunset, keeping temperatures elevated compared to historical September averages of 27–29°C. Recent model runs show minimal day-to-day variability, with consensus favoring a minimum at or just above 30°C while assigning lower probability to cooler outcomes below 28°C that would require stronger onshore flow or increased cloud cover. Traders appear to weigh the stable atmospheric pattern and latest hourly observations heavily in pricing the 30°C outcome at 87% implied probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$916Дата завершення
Sep 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and observational data from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and regional monitoring indicate the overnight low in Jeddah on September 5 will likely settle near 30°C.** Persistent high humidity from the adjacent Red Sea, combined with light northwesterly winds and clear to partly cloudy skies, limits radiative cooling after sunset, keeping temperatures elevated compared to historical September averages of 27–29°C. Recent model runs show minimal day-to-day variability, with consensus favoring a minimum at or just above 30°C while assigning lower probability to cooler outcomes below 28°C that would require stronger onshore flow or increased cloud cover. Traders appear to weigh the stable atmospheric pattern and latest hourly observations heavily in pricing the 30°C outcome at 87% implied probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$916Дата завершення
Sep 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and observational data from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and regional monitoring indicate the overnight low in Jeddah on September 5 will likely settle near 30°C.** Persistent high humidity from the adjacent Red Sea, combined with light northwesterly winds and clear to partly cloudy skies, limits radiative cooling after sunset, keeping temperatures elevated compared to historical September averages of 27–29°C. Recent model runs show minimal day-to-day variability, with consensus favoring a minimum at or just above 30°C while assigning lower probability to cooler outcomes below 28°C that would require stronger onshore flow or increased cloud cover. Traders appear to weigh the stable atmospheric pattern and latest hourly observations heavily in pricing the 30°C outcome at 87% implied probability.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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