**Persistent warm, humid conditions and thunderstorm activity are keeping overnight lows elevated for Houston on September 6, 2026, positioning upper-70s readings as the market favorite.** Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and models such as WeatherBug show expected overnight lows in the upper 70s (around 78–81°F), consistent with the leading 78–79°F bin at 44.5% implied probability. A strong, moist air mass with high dew points and 50–70% thunderstorm chances during the day and evening limits radiational cooling, a common late-summer pattern in the region. Historical averages for the date hover near 74–75°F, but current guidance shows no significant cool-air intrusion or clear, dry skies that would allow temperatures to drop further. The 69°F-or-below outcome (33.5%) would require an unusually strong cold front or model shift not currently indicated, while higher bins like 88°F+ reflect low odds of minimal overnight cooling amid ongoing humidity. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus of recent NWS and ensemble runs showing stable upper-70s readings through the night. The next key updates will come from morning model runs and any revised NWS forecasts on September 6 itself, which could refine probabilities if steering patterns or precipitation timing change.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Houston on September 6?
Lowest temperature in Houston on September 6?
69°F or below 68%
70-71°F 48%
82-83°F 48%
88°F or higher 45%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 6, 2026
69°F or below
68%
70-71°F
48%
72-73°F
44%
74-75°F
25%
76-77°F
33%
78-79°F
43%
80-81°F
44%
82-83°F
48%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
3%
88°F or higher
45%
69°F or below 68%
70-71°F 48%
82-83°F 48%
88°F or higher 45%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 6, 2026
69°F or below
$0 Обс.
68%
70-71°F
$0 Обс.
48%
72-73°F
$0 Обс.
44%
74-75°F
$0 Обс.
25%
76-77°F
$0 Обс.
33%
78-79°F
$0 Обс.
43%
80-81°F
$0 Обс.
44%
82-83°F
$0 Обс.
48%
84-85°F
$0 Обс.
3%
86-87°F
$0 Обс.
3%
88°F or higher
$0 Обс.
45%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent warm, humid conditions and thunderstorm activity are keeping overnight lows elevated for Houston on September 6, 2026, positioning upper-70s readings as the market favorite.**
Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and models such as WeatherBug show expected overnight lows in the upper 70s (around 78–81°F), consistent with the leading 78–79°F bin at 44.5% implied probability. A strong, moist air mass with high dew points and 50–70% thunderstorm chances during the day and evening limits radiational cooling, a common late-summer pattern in the region. Historical averages for the date hover near 74–75°F, but current guidance shows no significant cool-air intrusion or clear, dry skies that would allow temperatures to drop further.
The 69°F-or-below outcome (33.5%) would require an unusually strong cold front or model shift not currently indicated, while higher bins like 88°F+ reflect low odds of minimal overnight cooling amid ongoing humidity. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus of recent NWS and ensemble runs showing stable upper-70s readings through the night. The next key updates will come from morning model runs and any revised NWS forecasts on September 6 itself, which could refine probabilities if steering patterns or precipitation timing change.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 4, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 4, 2026, 3:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent warm, humid conditions and thunderstorm activity are keeping overnight lows elevated for Houston on September 6, 2026, positioning upper-70s readings as the market favorite.**
Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and models such as WeatherBug show expected overnight lows in the upper 70s (around 78–81°F), consistent with the leading 78–79°F bin at 44.5% implied probability. A strong, moist air mass with high dew points and 50–70% thunderstorm chances during the day and evening limits radiational cooling, a common late-summer pattern in the region. Historical averages for the date hover near 74–75°F, but current guidance shows no significant cool-air intrusion or clear, dry skies that would allow temperatures to drop further.
The 69°F-or-below outcome (33.5%) would require an unusually strong cold front or model shift not currently indicated, while higher bins like 88°F+ reflect low odds of minimal overnight cooling amid ongoing humidity. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus of recent NWS and ensemble runs showing stable upper-70s readings through the night. The next key updates will come from morning model runs and any revised NWS forecasts on September 6 itself, which could refine probabilities if steering patterns or precipitation timing change.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 4, 2026, 3:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent warm, humid conditions and thunderstorm activity are keeping overnight lows elevated for Houston on September 6, 2026, positioning upper-70s readings as the market favorite.** Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and models such as WeatherBug show expected overnight lows in the upper 70s (around 78–81°F), consistent with the leading 78–79°F bin at 44.5% implied probability. A strong, moist air mass with high dew points and 50–70% thunderstorm chances during the day and evening limits radiational cooling, a common late-summer pattern in the region. Historical averages for the date hover near 74–75°F, but current guidance shows no significant cool-air intrusion or clear, dry skies that would allow temperatures to drop further. The 69°F-or-below outcome (33.5%) would require an unusually strong cold front or model shift not currently indicated, while higher bins like 88°F+ reflect low odds of minimal overnight cooling amid ongoing humidity. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus of recent NWS and ensemble runs showing stable upper-70s readings through the night. The next key updates will come from morning model runs and any revised NWS forecasts on September 6 itself, which could refine probabilities if steering patterns or precipitation timing change.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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