US-mediated talks have produced a June 2026 trilateral framework agreement establishing a sequenced process for Lebanese army control of southern territories in exchange for verified Hezbollah disarmament, with limited pilot-zone withdrawals already outlined. Subsequent rounds, including August discussions in Rome on additional zones, reflect continued diplomatic engagement between Israeli and Lebanese officials despite ongoing Israeli operations and Hezbollah’s rejection of the accord. Implementation hinges on measurable progress by Lebanese forces, monitored through a new trilateral coordination group, amid Israeli insistence on retaining buffer areas until threats are neutralized. These developments sustain trader focus on whether further direct meetings or verifiable steps toward normalization will occur within any specified window, shaped by US facilitation and regional security dynamics.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$349,205 Обс.
Oct 1, 2026
September 9
3%
September 11
5%
September 13
11%
September 15
39%
September 30
66%
$349,205 Обс.
September 9
$14,168 Обс.
3%
September 11
$5,523 Обс.
5%
September 13
$8,047 Обс.
11%
September 15
$61,481 Обс.
39%
September 30
$51,481 Обс.
66%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.US-mediated talks have produced a June 2026 trilateral framework agreement establishing a sequenced process for Lebanese army control of southern territories in exchange for verified Hezbollah disarmament, with limited pilot-zone withdrawals already outlined. Subsequent rounds, including August discussions in Rome on additional zones, reflect continued diplomatic engagement between Israeli and Lebanese officials despite ongoing Israeli operations and Hezbollah’s rejection of the accord. Implementation hinges on measurable progress by Lebanese forces, monitored through a new trilateral coordination group, amid Israeli insistence on retaining buffer areas until threats are neutralized. These developments sustain trader focus on whether further direct meetings or verifiable steps toward normalization will occur within any specified window, shaped by US facilitation and regional security dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 10, 2026, 6:44 PM ET
Обсяг
$349,205Дата завершення
Sep 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 10, 2026, 6:44 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.US-mediated talks have produced a June 2026 trilateral framework agreement establishing a sequenced process for Lebanese army control of southern territories in exchange for verified Hezbollah disarmament, with limited pilot-zone withdrawals already outlined. Subsequent rounds, including August discussions in Rome on additional zones, reflect continued diplomatic engagement between Israeli and Lebanese officials despite ongoing Israeli operations and Hezbollah’s rejection of the accord. Implementation hinges on measurable progress by Lebanese forces, monitored through a new trilateral coordination group, amid Israeli insistence on retaining buffer areas until threats are neutralized. These developments sustain trader focus on whether further direct meetings or verifiable steps toward normalization will occur within any specified window, shaped by US facilitation and regional security dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$349,205Дата завершення
Sep 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 10, 2026, 6:44 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...US-mediated talks have produced a June 2026 trilateral framework agreement establishing a sequenced process for Lebanese army control of southern territories in exchange for verified Hezbollah disarmament, with limited pilot-zone withdrawals already outlined. Subsequent rounds, including August discussions in Rome on additional zones, reflect continued diplomatic engagement between Israeli and Lebanese officials despite ongoing Israeli operations and Hezbollah’s rejection of the accord. Implementation hinges on measurable progress by Lebanese forces, monitored through a new trilateral coordination group, amid Israeli insistence on retaining buffer areas until threats are neutralized. These developments sustain trader focus on whether further direct meetings or verifiable steps toward normalization will occur within any specified window, shaped by US facilitation and regional security dynamics.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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