**Recent official forecasts from MetService-aligned sources and the UK Met Office indicate a daytime maximum of 13–14°C for Wellington on August 10, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s heavy weighting toward 14°C (59.5%) and supporting 13°C (23.0%) and 15°C (17.5%).** Wellington’s August climatology features average highs near 12–13°C under prevailing westerly flows across Cook Strait; current model consensus shows near-average temperatures with limited diurnal warming due to moderate cloud and breezy conditions. NIWA’s seasonal outlook reinforces near-average temperatures for the Wellington region, reducing the likelihood of significant deviations. Updated short-range guidance over the past 48 hours has stabilized around these values, with only minor model spread that keeps 14°C as the modal outcome while leaving narrow but non-zero probability for 15°C if clearer skies develop.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on August 10?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 10?
14°C 59%
13°C 22%
15°C 19%
12°C 3%
НОВЕ
$24,016 Обс.
НОВЕ
$24,016 Обс.
Aug 10, 2026
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
3%
13°C
22%
14°C
59%
15°C
19%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
<1%
14°C 59%
13°C 22%
15°C 19%
12°C 3%
НОВЕ
$24,016 Обс.
НОВЕ
$24,016 Обс.
Aug 10, 2026
7°C or below
$362 Обс.
<1%
8°C
$421 Обс.
<1%
9°C
$649 Обс.
<1%
10°C
$2,310 Обс.
<1%
11°C
$1,411 Обс.
1%
12°C
$1,781 Обс.
3%
13°C
$5,491 Обс.
22%
14°C
$3,697 Обс.
59%
15°C
$5,442 Обс.
19%
16°C
$1,508 Обс.
1%
17°C or higher
$945 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official forecasts from MetService-aligned sources and the UK Met Office indicate a daytime maximum of 13–14°C for Wellington on August 10, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s heavy weighting toward 14°C (59.5%) and supporting 13°C (23.0%) and 15°C (17.5%).** Wellington’s August climatology features average highs near 12–13°C under prevailing westerly flows across Cook Strait; current model consensus shows near-average temperatures with limited diurnal warming due to moderate cloud and breezy conditions. NIWA’s seasonal outlook reinforces near-average temperatures for the Wellington region, reducing the likelihood of significant deviations. Updated short-range guidance over the past 48 hours has stabilized around these values, with only minor model spread that keeps 14°C as the modal outcome while leaving narrow but non-zero probability for 15°C if clearer skies develop.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Обсяг
$24,016Дата завершення
Aug 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official forecasts from MetService-aligned sources and the UK Met Office indicate a daytime maximum of 13–14°C for Wellington on August 10, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s heavy weighting toward 14°C (59.5%) and supporting 13°C (23.0%) and 15°C (17.5%).** Wellington’s August climatology features average highs near 12–13°C under prevailing westerly flows across Cook Strait; current model consensus shows near-average temperatures with limited diurnal warming due to moderate cloud and breezy conditions. NIWA’s seasonal outlook reinforces near-average temperatures for the Wellington region, reducing the likelihood of significant deviations. Updated short-range guidance over the past 48 hours has stabilized around these values, with only minor model spread that keeps 14°C as the modal outcome while leaving narrow but non-zero probability for 15°C if clearer skies develop.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$24,016Дата завершення
Aug 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent official forecasts from MetService-aligned sources and the UK Met Office indicate a daytime maximum of 13–14°C for Wellington on August 10, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s heavy weighting toward 14°C (59.5%) and supporting 13°C (23.0%) and 15°C (17.5%).** Wellington’s August climatology features average highs near 12–13°C under prevailing westerly flows across Cook Strait; current model consensus shows near-average temperatures with limited diurnal warming due to moderate cloud and breezy conditions. NIWA’s seasonal outlook reinforces near-average temperatures for the Wellington region, reducing the likelihood of significant deviations. Updated short-range guidance over the past 48 hours has stabilized around these values, with only minor model spread that keeps 14°C as the modal outcome while leaving narrow but non-zero probability for 15°C if clearer skies develop.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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