**Official forecasts from MetService position a 14°C daily maximum as the most probable outcome for Wellington on August 10, with 13–15°C bands capturing the bulk of model consensus under northeasterly flow.** These milder northerlies are drawing warmer air from subtropical regions, contrasting with the colder southerly outbreaks that produced lower maxima earlier in the month. NIWA’s seasonal outlook indicates near-average temperatures are favored for the Wellington region, aligning with the city’s August climatological high near 13°C. Recent model runs show limited spread around 13–14°C, with only modest upside risk to 15°C if daytime heating exceeds expectations under partly cloudy skies. Traders are therefore concentrating probability on the 13–15°C cluster while assigning negligible weight to extremes outside recent observational norms. Updated guidance from MetService or NIWA on the morning of August 10 could still shift the narrow range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on August 10?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 10?
14°C 56%
13°C 24%
15°C 20%
12°C 3%
НОВЕ
$21,881 Обс.
НОВЕ
$21,881 Обс.
Aug 10, 2026
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
3%
13°C
24%
14°C
56%
15°C
20%
16°C
2%
17°C or higher
<1%
14°C 56%
13°C 24%
15°C 20%
12°C 3%
НОВЕ
$21,881 Обс.
НОВЕ
$21,881 Обс.
Aug 10, 2026
7°C or below
$362 Обс.
<1%
8°C
$421 Обс.
<1%
9°C
$649 Обс.
<1%
10°C
$2,289 Обс.
<1%
11°C
$1,254 Обс.
1%
12°C
$1,624 Обс.
3%
13°C
$5,123 Обс.
24%
14°C
$3,355 Обс.
56%
15°C
$4,699 Обс.
20%
16°C
$1,351 Обс.
2%
17°C or higher
$755 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from MetService position a 14°C daily maximum as the most probable outcome for Wellington on August 10, with 13–15°C bands capturing the bulk of model consensus under northeasterly flow.** These milder northerlies are drawing warmer air from subtropical regions, contrasting with the colder southerly outbreaks that produced lower maxima earlier in the month. NIWA’s seasonal outlook indicates near-average temperatures are favored for the Wellington region, aligning with the city’s August climatological high near 13°C. Recent model runs show limited spread around 13–14°C, with only modest upside risk to 15°C if daytime heating exceeds expectations under partly cloudy skies. Traders are therefore concentrating probability on the 13–15°C cluster while assigning negligible weight to extremes outside recent observational norms. Updated guidance from MetService or NIWA on the morning of August 10 could still shift the narrow range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Обсяг
$21,881Дата завершення
Aug 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from MetService position a 14°C daily maximum as the most probable outcome for Wellington on August 10, with 13–15°C bands capturing the bulk of model consensus under northeasterly flow.** These milder northerlies are drawing warmer air from subtropical regions, contrasting with the colder southerly outbreaks that produced lower maxima earlier in the month. NIWA’s seasonal outlook indicates near-average temperatures are favored for the Wellington region, aligning with the city’s August climatological high near 13°C. Recent model runs show limited spread around 13–14°C, with only modest upside risk to 15°C if daytime heating exceeds expectations under partly cloudy skies. Traders are therefore concentrating probability on the 13–15°C cluster while assigning negligible weight to extremes outside recent observational norms. Updated guidance from MetService or NIWA on the morning of August 10 could still shift the narrow range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$21,881Дата завершення
Aug 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from MetService position a 14°C daily maximum as the most probable outcome for Wellington on August 10, with 13–15°C bands capturing the bulk of model consensus under northeasterly flow.** These milder northerlies are drawing warmer air from subtropical regions, contrasting with the colder southerly outbreaks that produced lower maxima earlier in the month. NIWA’s seasonal outlook indicates near-average temperatures are favored for the Wellington region, aligning with the city’s August climatological high near 13°C. Recent model runs show limited spread around 13–14°C, with only modest upside risk to 15°C if daytime heating exceeds expectations under partly cloudy skies. Traders are therefore concentrating probability on the 13–15°C cluster while assigning negligible weight to extremes outside recent observational norms. Updated guidance from MetService or NIWA on the morning of August 10 could still shift the narrow range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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