Recent ensemble forecasts from European models show a tight cluster of possible maximum temperatures in Warsaw for August 10, centered on 30–32°C due to modest differences in warm-air advection timing, boundary-layer mixing, and high-pressure ridge placement. The market's close pricing across 30°C (20.5%), 31°C (34.0%), and 32°C (25.5%) directly reflects this limited spread and remaining uncertainty in the final 24–48 hours before resolution. Historical August means near 25°C place these values above normal but within observed summer extremes, with traders weighting the latest deterministic guidance that peaks just above 31°C while acknowledging potential downward revisions from overnight cooling or cloud cover.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 10?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 10?
31°C 34%
32°C 26%
30°C 21%
33°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 10, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
21%
31°C
34%
32°C
26%
33°C
9%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 34%
32°C 26%
30°C 21%
33°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 10, 2026
26°C or below
$168 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$229 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$380 Обс.
2%
29°C
$787 Обс.
5%
30°C
$1,550 Обс.
21%
31°C
$382 Обс.
34%
32°C
$985 Обс.
26%
33°C
$1,336 Обс.
9%
34°C
$113 Обс.
1%
35°C
$126 Обс.
<1%
36°C or higher
$190 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European models show a tight cluster of possible maximum temperatures in Warsaw for August 10, centered on 30–32°C due to modest differences in warm-air advection timing, boundary-layer mixing, and high-pressure ridge placement. The market's close pricing across 30°C (20.5%), 31°C (34.0%), and 32°C (25.5%) directly reflects this limited spread and remaining uncertainty in the final 24–48 hours before resolution. Historical August means near 25°C place these values above normal but within observed summer extremes, with traders weighting the latest deterministic guidance that peaks just above 31°C while acknowledging potential downward revisions from overnight cooling or cloud cover.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Обсяг
$6,247Дата завершення
Aug 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European models show a tight cluster of possible maximum temperatures in Warsaw for August 10, centered on 30–32°C due to modest differences in warm-air advection timing, boundary-layer mixing, and high-pressure ridge placement. The market's close pricing across 30°C (20.5%), 31°C (34.0%), and 32°C (25.5%) directly reflects this limited spread and remaining uncertainty in the final 24–48 hours before resolution. Historical August means near 25°C place these values above normal but within observed summer extremes, with traders weighting the latest deterministic guidance that peaks just above 31°C while acknowledging potential downward revisions from overnight cooling or cloud cover.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$6,247Дата завершення
Aug 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from European models show a tight cluster of possible maximum temperatures in Warsaw for August 10, centered on 30–32°C due to modest differences in warm-air advection timing, boundary-layer mixing, and high-pressure ridge placement. The market's close pricing across 30°C (20.5%), 31°C (34.0%), and 32°C (25.5%) directly reflects this limited spread and remaining uncertainty in the final 24–48 hours before resolution. Historical August means near 25°C place these values above normal but within observed summer extremes, with traders weighting the latest deterministic guidance that peaks just above 31°C while acknowledging potential downward revisions from overnight cooling or cloud cover.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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