Recent short-term model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and regional outlooks points to daytime highs of 26–28°C for Toronto on August 10 under mostly sunny conditions east of the province, driving the market’s emphasis on 28°C (43% implied probability) and 29°C (24.5%). This positioning reflects typical early-August climatology near 25–26°C, tempered by a post-heat-wave cooling trend noted in the Old Farmer’s Almanac for the Aug 10–16 period, with reduced thunderstorm activity and moderate humidity limiting further warming. Key variables include steering patterns and any late adjustments in numerical weather prediction runs, which could shift probabilities toward 27°C (currently 19.5%) if onshore flow strengthens. Traders are weighting these official guidance thresholds heavily given the market’s resolution on Environment Canada observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Toronto on August 10?
Highest temperature in Toronto on August 10?
28°C 44%
29°C 25%
27°C 20%
26°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 10, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
5%
27°C
20%
28°C
44%
29°C
25%
30°C
5%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 44%
29°C 25%
27°C 20%
26°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 10, 2026
24°C or below
$2,018 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$386 Обс.
1%
26°C
$349 Обс.
5%
27°C
$603 Обс.
20%
28°C
$1,032 Обс.
44%
29°C
$2,390 Обс.
25%
30°C
$538 Обс.
5%
31°C
$133 Обс.
1%
32°C
$125 Обс.
1%
33°C
$366 Обс.
<1%
34°C or higher
$325 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and regional outlooks points to daytime highs of 26–28°C for Toronto on August 10 under mostly sunny conditions east of the province, driving the market’s emphasis on 28°C (43% implied probability) and 29°C (24.5%). This positioning reflects typical early-August climatology near 25–26°C, tempered by a post-heat-wave cooling trend noted in the Old Farmer’s Almanac for the Aug 10–16 period, with reduced thunderstorm activity and moderate humidity limiting further warming. Key variables include steering patterns and any late adjustments in numerical weather prediction runs, which could shift probabilities toward 27°C (currently 19.5%) if onshore flow strengthens. Traders are weighting these official guidance thresholds heavily given the market’s resolution on Environment Canada observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 8, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Обсяг
$8,035Дата завершення
Aug 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 8, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and regional outlooks points to daytime highs of 26–28°C for Toronto on August 10 under mostly sunny conditions east of the province, driving the market’s emphasis on 28°C (43% implied probability) and 29°C (24.5%). This positioning reflects typical early-August climatology near 25–26°C, tempered by a post-heat-wave cooling trend noted in the Old Farmer’s Almanac for the Aug 10–16 period, with reduced thunderstorm activity and moderate humidity limiting further warming. Key variables include steering patterns and any late adjustments in numerical weather prediction runs, which could shift probabilities toward 27°C (currently 19.5%) if onshore flow strengthens. Traders are weighting these official guidance thresholds heavily given the market’s resolution on Environment Canada observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$8,035Дата завершення
Aug 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 8, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-term model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and regional outlooks points to daytime highs of 26–28°C for Toronto on August 10 under mostly sunny conditions east of the province, driving the market’s emphasis on 28°C (43% implied probability) and 29°C (24.5%). This positioning reflects typical early-August climatology near 25–26°C, tempered by a post-heat-wave cooling trend noted in the Old Farmer’s Almanac for the Aug 10–16 period, with reduced thunderstorm activity and moderate humidity limiting further warming. Key variables include steering patterns and any late adjustments in numerical weather prediction runs, which could shift probabilities toward 27°C (currently 19.5%) if onshore flow strengthens. Traders are weighting these official guidance thresholds heavily given the market’s resolution on Environment Canada observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання