Short-term forecasts from agencies like Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and international models point to a peak daytime high in Taipei on August 10 near 34–36°C, amid typical midsummer subtropical conditions with high humidity and urban heat-island effects. Scattered showers or thunderstorms, driven by diurnal convection and monsoon moisture, introduce uncertainty that could cap the maximum if they arrive earlier or intensify, favoring the market's tight clustering around 35°C (30.5% implied probability) versus 34°C or 36°C. Recent patterns of variable cloud cover and precipitation timing, rather than any extreme heat event, explain why outcomes cluster narrowly while lower or higher extremes remain sidelined.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Taipei on August 10?
Highest temperature in Taipei on August 10?
35°C 31%
36°C 27%
34°C 22%
37°C 10%
НОВЕ
$17,067 Обс.
НОВЕ
$17,067 Обс.
Aug 10, 2026
30°C or below
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
9%
34°C
22%
35°C
31%
36°C
27%
37°C
10%
38°C
3%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
35°C 31%
36°C 27%
34°C 22%
37°C 10%
НОВЕ
$17,067 Обс.
НОВЕ
$17,067 Обс.
Aug 10, 2026
30°C or below
$2,940 Обс.
1%
31°C
$578 Обс.
1%
32°C
$514 Обс.
2%
33°C
$1,610 Обс.
9%
34°C
$2,923 Обс.
22%
35°C
$1,542 Обс.
31%
36°C
$2,574 Обс.
27%
37°C
$1,627 Обс.
10%
38°C
$1,017 Обс.
3%
39°C
$517 Обс.
<1%
40°C or higher
$1,224 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecasts from agencies like Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and international models point to a peak daytime high in Taipei on August 10 near 34–36°C, amid typical midsummer subtropical conditions with high humidity and urban heat-island effects. Scattered showers or thunderstorms, driven by diurnal convection and monsoon moisture, introduce uncertainty that could cap the maximum if they arrive earlier or intensify, favoring the market's tight clustering around 35°C (30.5% implied probability) versus 34°C or 36°C. Recent patterns of variable cloud cover and precipitation timing, rather than any extreme heat event, explain why outcomes cluster narrowly while lower or higher extremes remain sidelined.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$17,067Дата завершення
Aug 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecasts from agencies like Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and international models point to a peak daytime high in Taipei on August 10 near 34–36°C, amid typical midsummer subtropical conditions with high humidity and urban heat-island effects. Scattered showers or thunderstorms, driven by diurnal convection and monsoon moisture, introduce uncertainty that could cap the maximum if they arrive earlier or intensify, favoring the market's tight clustering around 35°C (30.5% implied probability) versus 34°C or 36°C. Recent patterns of variable cloud cover and precipitation timing, rather than any extreme heat event, explain why outcomes cluster narrowly while lower or higher extremes remain sidelined.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$17,067Дата завершення
Aug 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-term forecasts from agencies like Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and international models point to a peak daytime high in Taipei on August 10 near 34–36°C, amid typical midsummer subtropical conditions with high humidity and urban heat-island effects. Scattered showers or thunderstorms, driven by diurnal convection and monsoon moisture, introduce uncertainty that could cap the maximum if they arrive earlier or intensify, favoring the market's tight clustering around 35°C (30.5% implied probability) versus 34°C or 36°C. Recent patterns of variable cloud cover and precipitation timing, rather than any extreme heat event, explain why outcomes cluster narrowly while lower or higher extremes remain sidelined.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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